Mark Vogan

US PATTERN: Lot’s Going On Including Surge Of Summer Into Northeast, Potential Tropical Trouble Off Carolinas

Written by on May 1, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
US PATTERN: Lot’s Going On Including Surge Of Summer Into Northeast, Potential Tropical Trouble Off Carolinas

This pattern is an interesting one worth watching as severe weather season ramps up in the Plains, a surge of summer progresses into the East while potential tropical trouble lurks off the Carolinas next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Firstly, here’s the latest ECMWF 5-day mean 500mb height anomalies. Day 0-5 Here comes that ridge into the Northeast day […]

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FRI 1 MAY: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

Written by on May 1, 2015 in Videos with 0 Comments
FRI 1 MAY: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

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Long Term Pattern Shift Likely In Place As Next Week Looks To Hold ‘Unsettled Theme’

Long Term Pattern Shift Likely In Place As Next Week Looks To Hold ‘Unsettled Theme’

The models are now drawing a much more refined solution to next week with a much more ‘unsettled’ look. Before we go into the details for next week as well as analysing the bigger picture and what that may mean for later, April, as expected was a warmer, drier and sunnier month for the UK […]

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FRI 1 MAY: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on May 1, 2015 in Videos with 0 Comments
FRI 1 MAY: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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Warm Water And Pattern Favours Early Tropical Development Off US

Written by on April 30, 2015 in Spring 2015, Summer 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
Warm Water And Pattern Favours Early Tropical Development Off US

With waters abnormally warm by up to 5C off the US Gulf and Southeast coast, not only is this making for the warmest March and April on record on land, this could also favour early season development. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The warm water itself won’t lead to tropical cyclone development but the pattern we’re entering could […]

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THU 30 APR: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

Written by on April 30, 2015 in Videos with 0 Comments
THU 30 APR: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

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Next UK Warm Surge Looking Likely Between May 9-14 (Next Weekend)

Next UK Warm Surge Looking Likely Between May 9-14 (Next Weekend)

A little tight for time today but be sure to watch this morning’s video for more detail on the upcoming bank holiday weekend. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As for later next week and the weekend, well the models keep showing the return of ridging and a decent surge of warmth back into the UK and western mainland […]

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THU 30 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on April 30, 2015 in Videos with 0 Comments
THU 30 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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El Nino Fuelling Flooding Rains Across Southern US, All-Time Record Heat In Mexico, Caribbean, Florida?

Written by on April 29, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
El Nino Fuelling Flooding Rains Across Southern US, All-Time Record Heat In Mexico, Caribbean, Florida?

Between South and North America, there is two extremes currently going off. While an enhanced sub-tropical jet is providing heavy, flooding rains across parts of the US Gulf Coast region and further heavy rain is expected over Texas in the next 2 weeks, further south into the tropics and sub-tropics it’s a very different story. Abnormally strong upper […]

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WED 29 APR: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

Written by on April 29, 2015 in Videos with 0 Comments
WED 29 APR: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

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