Mark Vogan
While there was no cooling towards the end of December, the overall December Outlook played out quite well with warm and wet the rule. If there was an underestimate to the month, it came with the degree of warmth seen, likely down to the peaking of the Super El Nino which I believe is overwhelming the pattern not just over […]
There’s a tremendous amount of attention on the record warmth of the next two days but as well as this system delivering warmth and heavy rain out ahead and snow and cold behind, it’s also got a very real severe side with tornado threat within the warm sector tonight as dynamics come together. SPC has upped […]
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As forecast back at the beginning of the week, the open to Christmas Eve will be rather lively with Storm Eva named by the MO. The worst of the wind and rain will be felt early in the morning but her presence will be felt through this evening as well as well as through Christmas Eve day. Winds will widely touch gale […]
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No question, the first month of winter 2015-16 has been ruled by the powerful El Nino in the Pacific. We are likely look at the warmest December east of the Mississippi and Christmas eve may well host the warmest December days in recorded history. Sure ain’t gonna FEEL like Christmas Eve this year…. Philadelphia expected […]
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No Cold Pattern In Sight For Europe Next 2-3 Weeks, Strat Warming Favours US Cold Like Past 2 Years!
For many of us hoping for a pattern change to colder, well we’ll need to remain patient as the AO remains strongly positive but is expected to drop towards weak negative in the next week or so. However, the NAO doesn’t show any real sign of getting much below neutral over the next few weeks and that means the Atlantic continues to rule. A […]
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While it will be seasonably cold and snowy Out West this week, warmth builds up the Eastern Seaboard once again thanks to a storm system over the Plains. It’s still a few days out but there strong model agreement arm surge peaks Christmas Eve supporting temps 30 above normal widely. ALL-TIME December records may be threatened too with this […]



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