Mark Vogan
Following a very warm, dry summer, autumn flipped wet with the aid of increased tropical activity. Temperature-wise, it marginally held onto the mild theme in September with warm start followed by coldest 2nd half to a September (-NAO) since 2012 according to Gavin Partridge. It was cold in the east. October saw the return to […]
September has been a very different month compared to recent months. Following the hottest and possibly driest summer on record for the continent, September has turned out cooler and wetter. The most likely cause of the change is down to the tropics! Sept anomaly Year-to-date Current SST’s Despite the UK overall winding up slightly warmer […]
The prolonged (likely La Nina, low solar) induced warm, dry theme continues for UK, Ireland and Europe as well as much of the Northern Hemisphere over the last 12 months. Heavy rains have led to an unusually cool summer for parts of India and Pakistan and we’ve also seen much of Africa and southern hemisphere […]
We’re well beyond the half way point of meteorological summer 2022 and on the eve of August. So far, it’s been a mixed summer with spells of ‘extreme heat’ mixed with cool, showery episodes and pressure from the Atlantic trying to press east. Driest, warmest, sunniest the further south and east, cooler, wetter the further […]
Thanks to a long term La Nina induced dry pattern, abnormally warm Atlantic, North Sea and Med and exceptionally hot air in place over Iberia, the heat is one… Thanks to high pressure sliding east and low pressure lifting north from Iberia towards UK, an area of nearly off-the-scale warmth has tracked northward over the […]
Information credit: Trevor Harley Top 4 UK Hottest Days 38.7C Cambridge Botanic Garden July 2019 38.5C Faversham, Kent August 2003 37.1C Cheltenham August 1990 36.7C Raunds August 1911 Site of the new UK record at Cambridge Botanic Gardens UK’s hottest day since 1900 1900 35.1 Cambridge 20 July 1901 33.3 Bawtry (South Yorks.), Colly Weston […]
It’s been a strange and erratic month of June across Europe and indeed across much of the hemisphere. Unsurprisingly, the warmer-than-normal theme has continued with pretty much all areas of the continent experiencing an above normal month. While warm overall, it was a cool final week of May and 1st week of June. While the […]
The levels of heat observed over recent days in parts of China and Japan has been incredible. A new national June record has been achieved in Japan along with the earliest 40C ever observed. https://twitter.com/sayakasofiamori/status/1540573217798377472 https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/status/1540589106584899584 Tokyo tied it’s June record Sunday. https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1540996722004033536 FEATURED IMAGE: Weatherbell Parts of China (outwith Xinjiang) have exceeded 44C! https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1540669953728057345
Another year, another heat wave for Europe. This latest wave of heat comes in the midst of a warm first half to 2022 and coinciding with an abnormally warm Atlantic and Mediterranean. 2022 follows part of a cluster of particularly warm ‘summer spells’ which started in 2018. The multi-year La Nina certainly appears to have […]
Welcome to my 12th annual UK, Europe summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which I have taken into consideration. They include the past winter pattern, type of spring just observed as well as other factors including current ENSO state, global and regional sea surface temperature […]
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