Archive for 2018
From May 1 through July 31, the majority of Europe and in fact the Hemisphere has been unseasonably warm, record breaking warm. This can be directly attributed to the pre-Super El Nino ocean warming and post El Nino heat release into the atmosphere. Another key factor I believe was in fact the cooling of the […]
Day/date: Sunday 5 August, 2018 Munros: Beinn Dorain, Beinn an Bothaidh (No 54, 55) Start point: Car park at Bridge of Orchy Hotel Drive length: 1 hour 45 mins Walk length: 6 miles / 4 hours 30 mins Weather: Cloudy 18C at bottom, 10C on summit with light breeze Heading away from civilization, what little there is of it anyway. […]
Western ridge + Ohio Valley trough + very warm water off NE = Record wet summer/year for East Coast!
With a mean Great Basin ridge and Great Lakes to Ohio Valley trough and lows sweeping over the Great Lakes into the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic, waves of Gulf and Caribbean moisture have frequently lifted north. With tropical air meeting incoming fronts from the west, major rainfall and flood events have been common place since June 1 from […]
Like Debby a week ago, Ernesto formed over unusually warm waters at an unusually far north location. About 1,000 miles southeast of Nova Scotia. Despite crossing the sub-16C waters of the North Atlantic and accelerating in forward sweep, favourable atmospheric conditions allowed the system to remain tropical and only the 12th tropical cyclone within the […]
Thanks to the Icelandic trough regaining strength and firmly positioned to the NW of Scotland, the Atlantic winds are back in control and that means typical summer weather with lows and associated fronts sweeping through every other day. The good news is it’s by no means a washout but more changeable with brief ridging and […]
All-time record heat is followed by thick, toxic wildfire smoke over Alberta, Saskatchewan & Montana
The heat of summer 2018 continues to melt historic records. Earlier in the summer it was parts of Eastern Canada including Montreal. Now it’s the Prairies turn as well as parts of the US interior Northwest. With over 400 wildfires burning across British Columbia alone and with westerly winds, thick toxic smoke is spreading across […]
There’s little doubt that many will be asking why 2018 was such a warm one across the Northern Hemisphere. I believe it’s very likely down to the response and lag of the Super El Nino which peaked during the winter of 2015-2016 combined with the cooling Atlantic basin. El Ninos typically release heat from […]

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