Archive for 2018

European September/Autumn 2018 Outlook

Written by on August 22, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
European September/Autumn 2018 Outlook

From May 1 through July 31, the majority of Europe and in fact the Hemisphere has been unseasonably warm, record breaking warm. This can be directly attributed to the pre-Super El Nino ocean warming and post El Nino heat release into the atmosphere. Another key factor I believe was in fact the cooling of the […]

Continue Reading

Beinn Dorain and Beinn an Bothaidh

Written by on August 22, 2018 in Scottish Mountains with 0 Comments
Beinn Dorain and Beinn an Bothaidh

Day/date: Sunday 5 August, 2018 Munros: Beinn Dorain, Beinn an Bothaidh (No 54, 55) Start point: Car park at Bridge of Orchy Hotel Drive length: 1 hour 45 mins Walk length: 6 miles / 4 hours 30 mins Weather: Cloudy 18C at bottom, 10C on summit with light breeze Heading away from civilization, what little there is of it anyway.   […]

Continue Reading

Western ridge + Ohio Valley trough + very warm water off NE = Record wet summer/year for East Coast!

Written by on August 20, 2018 in United States of America with 0 Comments
Western ridge + Ohio Valley trough + very warm water off NE = Record wet summer/year for East Coast!

With a mean Great Basin ridge and Great Lakes to Ohio Valley trough and lows sweeping over the Great Lakes into the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic, waves of Gulf and Caribbean moisture have frequently lifted north. With tropical air meeting incoming fronts from the west, major rainfall and flood events have been common place since June 1 from […]

Continue Reading

Ernesto becomes 1st Tropical Cyclone to reach 50N since 2000, wet & windy night ahead for UK

Written by on August 18, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Ernesto becomes 1st Tropical Cyclone to reach 50N since 2000, wet & windy night ahead for UK

Like Debby a week ago, Ernesto formed over unusually warm waters at an unusually far north location. About 1,000 miles southeast of Nova Scotia. Despite crossing the sub-16C waters of the North Atlantic and accelerating in forward sweep, favourable atmospheric conditions allowed the system to remain tropical and only the 12th tropical cyclone within the […]

Continue Reading

World’s oceans cool but atmosphere and land temperature peaks in wake of the Super El Nino

Written by on August 17, 2018 in Rest of World with 0 Comments
World’s oceans cool but atmosphere and land temperature peaks in wake of the Super El Nino

While seas, bays and pockets of ocean are at record warm levels, it would appear the ‘global ocean thermostat’ has been turned down since peaking just ahead of the 2016 El Nino. So why have we had this so called ‘global heat wave’ in 2018? Check out the level of ocean cooling in the last […]

Continue Reading

UK is firmly back in ‘typical summer’ mode, Ernesto set to bring a soaking Saturday

Written by on August 17, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
UK is firmly back in ‘typical summer’ mode, Ernesto set to bring a soaking Saturday

Thanks to the Icelandic trough regaining strength and firmly positioned to the NW of Scotland, the Atlantic winds are back in control and that means typical summer weather with lows and associated fronts sweeping through every other day. The good news is it’s by no means a washout but more changeable with brief ridging and […]

Continue Reading

All-time record heat is followed by thick, toxic wildfire smoke over Alberta, Saskatchewan & Montana

All-time record heat is followed by thick, toxic wildfire smoke over Alberta, Saskatchewan & Montana

The heat of summer 2018 continues to melt historic records. Earlier in the summer it was parts of Eastern Canada including Montreal. Now it’s the Prairies turn as well as parts of the US interior Northwest. With over 400 wildfires burning across British Columbia alone and with westerly winds, thick toxic smoke is spreading across […]

Continue Reading

MON 13 AUG: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on August 13, 2018 in Uncategorized with 0 Comments

Did 2016 Super El Nino & Cooling Atlantic lead to the sweltering summer of 2018?

Written by on August 13, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Did 2016 Super El Nino & Cooling Atlantic lead to the sweltering summer of 2018?

There’s little doubt that many will be asking why 2018 was such a warm one across the Northern Hemisphere. I believe it’s very likely down to the response and lag of the Super El Nino which peaked during the winter of 2015-2016 combined with the cooling Atlantic basin.   El Ninos typically release heat from […]

Continue Reading

Schiehallion

Written by on August 12, 2018 in Scottish Mountains with 0 Comments
Schiehallion

Just 3 days after bagging 3 more munros in a first visit to the Lawers Group, I headed into the heart of Perthshire to the west of Aberfeldy and parked up at the Braes of Foss. This time it was Schiehallion in my sights. Positioned just south of an east-west line between Loch Tummel  to […]

Continue Reading

Top