With modelling backing off on an intense wave of late season cold, the cold we do have looks to be a typical brand of late season cold, nothing particularly out of the ordinary. With 5,000ft temps at -5 or even -10C, surface temps are +5 to 10C and factoring in a strong, high sun angle cloud or no cloud, I don’t see much if any snow below 150/200 metres during daylight hours. Minor accumulation may occur during the dark hours of night when the column cools but even then ground temps have warmed in the last week.

In terms of snow flakes flying, well we could well see that if the column is perhaps a degree or two lower than I expect within the lowest 500ft.

GFS has -10 at 850mb later Thursday afternoon but surface readings are likely to be at +5C or warmer down at sea level, perhaps 2 to 3C above 200m which certainly could support snow and lying snow.

Easter forecast will be available tomorrow!