Amazingly, Ophelia has become the farthest east Category 3 MAJOR hurricane on record. It continues to set it’s sights on Ireland and western/northern UK early next week as a powerful and potentially destructive extra tropical cyclone. It hits bang on the 30th anniversary of the Great Storm!
https://twitter.com/MeteoGib/status/919213055476752385
Track more certain than strength
Track of transitioning Ophelia northwards along Ireland’s Atlantic coast looks pretty much a lock but intensity of the cyclone and it’s winds remain open to question.
https://twitter.com/MarkVogan/status/919226917315842048
The transition process can be tricky and has been known to see formation of sting jets which release stronger surface winds than projected by the models.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
50-60kt gusts for Ireland’s exposed southern coast.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
As of now, the below from the BBC Weather Centre looks pretty good.
https://twitter.com/bbcweather/status/919207013598597120
https://twitter.com/bbcweather/status/919134968701440000
https://twitter.com/AirportWebcams/status/919178653023506432
Concern for coastal surge flooding
With sustained winds of 80-100 mph out of the South barely 100 miles off Ireland, I’m concerned about the pile up of water in a surge fashion along southern and eastern coasts combined with 80 mph gusts and battering waves of 15-25ft, 40-60ft offshore.
80+kt winds shown 100-200 miles off Ireland.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
https://twitter.com/MarkVogan/status/919165099541180416
Look for record high maximums and minimums in the coming days as Ophelia is essentially pulling the tropics northwards over the UK/Ireland.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
https://twitter.com/bbcweather/status/919163914381873152
FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: Trevor Dubber Photos @DubberTrevor
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