Archive for 2016
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In the wake of a record warm September, a strongly negative Arctic Oscillation (AO) with persistent blocking high pressure over Scandinavia which has made for a cold October. -AO forced by a nice tropospheric warming event. October temperature anomaly so far this October. It’s been a record warm October over the Eastern United States. Note below the […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Despite there being a strong -AO, it’s been a toasty October from the Plains to East Coast. Despite this nice tropospheric warming event which forced the tanking of the AO… This is the temperature anomaly across the US through the opening 18 days of Oct. There’s an abrupt shift now underway for the East […]
As we enter the final 10 days of October I continue to gather the remaining evidence in order to put forward my 2016-17 winter forecast. The latest information regarding Arctic Sea Ice states that for the time of year, we have the lowest levels on record as you can see from the below chart. Look […]
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NHC has decreased the development of Invest 99L from 80 to 50% given the sheared environment it’s in and disorganised appearance this morning. The good news is that even if this thing we’re to develop, it’s unlikely to significantly impact the US East Coast. However, it’s the very eastbound frontal system sliding through the Tennessee/Ohio Valley that will steer 99L away from […]
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As your well aware, we’ve a very blocked up pattern with high pressure repositioning back into Scandinavia while Atlantic lows get diverted into Iberia and south-central Europe. However, the driving mechanism to our weather can be traced back to North America. In today’s written post I want to show you the GFS jet stream chart through the […]
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