We’ve seen a big increase in rainfall over Texas in recent weeks thanks to a pronounced southerly stream enhanced by the decaying El Nino. This has wiped out the drought.

The wet pattern isn’t ending soon as the trough holding over the Four Corners will seen further lows swing through and once over the S Rockies, they draw on warm, moist air from the Gulf bringing further significant rain events to Texas.

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According to the GFS ensemble, heights remain low across the South and strong across the North.

With wet ground and strongest heights across the north, this is a cooler than normal pattern through much of May for Texas.

While I think May and possibly June is wet and therefore cool across Texas and the South, I wouldn’t hold to the idea of a cool, wet summer overall. Remember summer 1998? A record hot, dry second half and we only have to look back to spring last year when we had record rain in April and May only to see drought conditions return and things heated up in response to the dry ground.

See this morning’s video.

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