Archive for 2015
Helped by a strong positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation, we have a strengthening west-east jet stream crossing the Pacific, providing a lot of energy to drive across the United States this week. As a consequence to this 190+ mph jet this week, we’ll see the first ‘series of storms’ batter the West Coast with hurricane-force […]
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UPDATE: It’s been confirmed that the UK has set a new 24 and 48-hour rainfall record this weekend. 341.4mm (13 inches) fell within 24 hours at Honister breaking the previous record set back in 2009 and 405mm (16 inches) fell within 48 hours at Thirlmere. Confirmation from Met Office. It’s safe to say that this past weekend has been eventful, unfortunately devastating for many […]
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Every weekend in the run up to New Year, I thought it might be good to take a step back in time and relive some of America and Europe’s very worst, most extreme winters of the last 100+ years. Thought I would start off with 1985 for the US which saw a record mild December in the East! […]
Every Saturday in the run up to New Year, I thought it might be good to take a step back in time and relive some of our very worst, most extreme winters of the last 100 years. The brutal winter of 1962-63 will be long remembered as one of the worst. Take a look at this amazing […]
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It would be foolish to base a forecast on any particular model run solution. For long range forecasting in particular, when accuracy greatly falls away week at 5 days or beyond, we look for trends, consistently over one particular solution and cross model agreement. Let me just say there’s consistency and agreement that the big positive centred over […]
UPDATE: Winds gusting 112 mph over Aonach Mor summit, just north of Fort William. We’re in for a wild end to the work week and weekend of weather all courtesy of a near 940 low near Iceland and near 1040 high over the Bay of Biscay. That steep gradient means a very windy, if not stormy […]
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