Despite Snow Now, Models Agree On Deep Atlantic Trough/Western Europe Ridge Through March

It may be cold and snowy commencing the new work week and 2nd day of spring but this wild weather looks set to abate as we head deeper into the week.

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There’s northing spring-like about the stinging NW wind and frequent snow showers rattling in with blowing and drifting over higher road routes but high pressure is set to build in from the south through the second half of the week. This should turn winds more WSW, drawing in milder air from the sub-tropics.

As I look at the various models on this late Monday morning, while the snow falls and winds howl outside, there’s one thing jumping out at me, RIDGING! It’s like all the models are on the same page this morning when looking at the upcoming 16 day period.

Check this out….

EPS Control

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

GFS ensemble

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

gefs-hgt--world-384-C-500hgtanom_7d_white

Here’s the 700mb anomaly off the CFSv2 for March. Doesn’t that not just look a copy of the above?

glbz700MonInd1

2 metre temps.

glbT2mMonInd1

Current global SST anomalies reflect this upper air pattern nicely. I explain this more in the video.

anomnight_2_26_2015

I’m off to Inverness and Invergordon today. Likely to be dealing with snowy roads and gusty winds… See video for the discussion.

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