Last winter was the wettest on record for the UK. We can all remember the bombardment of one storm followed by the next.

This year, as expected has been quite different. According to new stats from the Met Office, January 2015 was near average temperature wise and more interestingly it was 5th sunniest.

Based on current model projections, the first half of February is looking rather quiet and in turn, dry.

That blocking high that’s at least brought more of a typical winter this year is set to push in through the weekend and may well hold for the best part of the upcoming 2 weeks.

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Little rain is expected with this anticyclone dominance. It will tend to be cloudier since it’s an oceanic origin high which tends to contain more moisture but it will bring little in the way of proper rain.

Depending upon February’s second half, if the dry look was to continue, it wouldn’t surprise me if this turns out to be a top 5 dry February and this may lead to other things later down the road.

GFS ensemble 7-day mean 500mb height anomalies point to this high building and holding through the next 16 days!

Little appreciable rain within at least the next 10 days.

This stable, stagnant regime supports lingering cloud as well as clear sky and where clear by night, frost will readily form as well as fog in sheltered areas.

Be sure to check out today’s video for the discussion.

More tomorrow…

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