Archive for 2014
Before we get to the potential fun and games of next weekend and threats of a frost, freeze and even snowstorm, we have MAJOR end of October heat over the Plains currently and it’s thanks to a strong storm driving into the Pacific Northwest. The initial 500mb chart shows the trough deepening over the West Coast where it’s wet […]
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So far, so good regarding my autumn forecast. I highlighted the ‘end of Oct’ period as a particularly wet spell with increased threat of flooding rainfall. It appears we have a ‘flooding event’ now in progress across the West Highlands of Scotland with a near identical surface setup to November 2009 which brought the big […]
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The latest QPF (Quantative Precipitation Forecast) is printing out the biggest 7-day rain totals over the UK I’ve seen in quite some time. The reason? A boundary with lot’s of moisture and embedded disturbances running along it will become stuck over the N Republic and Scotland. While we’re in for a persistent wet, windy spell starting tonight/tomorrow and quite possibly lasting through […]
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Hope you had a chance to watch last night’s video regarding my latest US winter thoughts. Based on the type of global pattern, solar, east QBO, weak nino (coming on), global sst profile etc… This makes sense. So does this. But this DOESN’T. The CFSv2 contradicts it’s own winter SST forecast. Which is contradicted by it’s upper height anomalies. You shouldn’t see […]
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