The big Christmas storm is coming but it’s a question of how strong and where it’s exact track will be. As stated in yesterday#s post, this system will be noteworthy for 3 aspects, 1) wind 2) flooding rainfall 3) surprise southern snow making for a White Christmas in areas which don’t typically see snow at Christmas.

Latest ECMWF surface map shows pressure bombing out below 970mb with an expanse and tightly wound wind field which will likely produce 50 mph wind gusts.

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Wind will be a big feature with large area seeing 30-50 mph wind gusts.

850 temps show nicely the push of cold sweeping in on the backside.

Note the -5 to -10C air reaching south Alabama and Georgia Christmas Day.

Probability of a White Christmas in any given year.

ECMWF projected snow cover at 12z Christmas Day.

GFS

Can’t help but notice the area of 1″ snow covering much of Arkansas and a coating through central Mississippi and Alabama off the GFS. Given the setup and cold air rushing in behind the front that this is possible. Remember Arkansas saw a very White Christmas just last year, could they see another this year?

See video for today’s discussion.

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