All model guidance points to a plentiful and helpful soaking for the Southern Plains over the next 10 days.
10 day QPF rainfall the south-central states.
Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
CFSv2 week 1-2 has wettest conditions on the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles, right where the worst of the drought is!
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When the East Pacific is cold, you tend to get more La Ninas and drought over the West and Central USA but when it’s warm, especially with El Nino coming on, it turns wetter right where it’s usually drier in cold phases.
Check out the striking SST difference THIS YEAR compared to the last 5 years. The last 5 years which have been predominantly DRIER than normal in the west and central states.
2010
2011
2012
2013
Current
Now, compare the above SST’s off North America and the drought monitor charts below for the year 2012 and present.
July 2012
May 2014
With the warm E Pacific and the El Nino coming on, the below precip charts now through October make sense and that drought chart above should be quite different by the end of this year.
The drought denting begins now over the Southern Plains, further west later in the year!
Be sure to watch today’s video.
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