Some SNOW To End UK’s Wettest Winter In 250 Years, 7th Warmest On Record

Written by on February 27, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Meteorological winter 2013-14 draws to a close tomorrow and it ends as the UK’s wettest in 250 years, 7th warmest and warmest since 2007. Thank in part, the brutal US winter and for them, they have endured one of the coldest winter’s on record.

Here’s the official rainfall anomaly chart for this winter from the Met Office and just look at the large swath of dark blues.

Source/Copyright: Crown / Met Office

Source/Copyright: Crown / Met Office

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Interestingly, this mild and VERY stormy winter looks set to go out on a ‘wintry’ note with snow potential over Ireland and central and southern parts of the UK with frost and an ice threat further north. This winter will be remembered for it’s rain and wild storms but as for snow, frost and ice, well it seemed non-existent.

I’m not going to go into great detail with the below charts as the discussion is in today’s video but thought I would show you these here.

As explained, the ECMWF and GFS has similarity with the initial southern track system but they vary when it comes to snowfall. While the GFS doesn’t entertain a second system, keeping it well north of the UK, the ECMWF makes a big deal of it. It suggests a snow event for northern parts. However, that same model also dumped 6 inches on Wales (last night) for tomorrow into the weekend, not it barely has anything. What do you go with??

ECMWF surface

24 hrs

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

30

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

66

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

72

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

ECMWF snow

48 hrs

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

72

ecmwfued-hgtprs--uk-72-A-snowtot

GFS surface

24 hrs

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

42

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

GFS snow

30 hrs

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

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