Archive for 2013

MON 24 JUNE: UK & IRELAND REGIONAL FORECAST

Written by on June 24, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Scotland It’s been a pleasant, albeit cool, breezy but bright or sunny afternoon with highs of 16-18C. Always feeling cooler in the breeze, Through tonight and winds fall light and beneath clear skies and cooler air aloft, it will turn chilly for late June. Lows widely down to 7 or 8C in towns and cities, nearer […]

Continue Reading

MJO Suggests Tropics Come Alive, Eastern US Stays Cool In July!

As we approach July, one must start watching the tropical Atlantic as the MJO index looks set to enter increasingly more favourable octants. While the GFS is going through phase 1, the ECMWF clearly shows it entering phase 2 and that’s prime time for western Atlantic development over the next couple of weeks. Quite often when the […]

Continue Reading

Warmer, More Settled Conditions To End June, Start July, Some ‘Brief’ Interruptions

Written by on June 23, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Both ECMWF and GFS are in agreement that the mean ridge position is largely over western Europe including the UK and Ireland through the remainder of June and into early July. There will however be a few glancing blows with deep lows passing not too far to our north. That means spells of rain and an increase […]

Continue Reading

Extreme Heat On It’s Way To Western US, Deepest Trough In Years For East?

Written by on June 23, 2013 in United States of America with 0 Comments

All week long I having been keeping an eye on the ECWMF and the major ridge it’s continuously shown build over the Western United States from mid to late next week. The only change I see is that it’s strengthening further with each run. While heights really go to town from the Southwest to eventually Montana up into Canada with a sprawling 596dc high centred […]

Continue Reading

Saturday Evening Thoughts

Written by on June 22, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Models remain consistent in bringing high pressure back across Ireland and the British Isles on Monday in the wake of this weekend’s unusually deep, sub-988mb low. That low has brought plentiful showers (some thundery) across Northern Ireland, Scotland and northern England, accompanied by blustery conditions today. Tomorrow winds veer NW as the low pushes into the North Sea. Winds will be […]

Continue Reading

What A Difference A Year Makes For The Southeast

Written by on June 22, 2013 in United States of America with 0 Comments

The pattern over the Southeast US couldn’t be any different compared to this time last year. A wet winter and a very wet spring has helped get the majority of the region out of a drought. The drought in recent years was of course a drought which had accumulated, worsened over a span of about […]

Continue Reading

Summer Pattern Beginning To Show It’s Hand, Ridge Dominates UK Next Week!

Written by on June 21, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

All week it’s been made clear that our approaching wet, windy and cool weather this weekend will be short lived, a mere blip in a more dominant settled, mild or warm pattern. The NAO is a great long range indicator this season thanks to the right soil moisture content and a neutral ENSO. This signal has allowed me to forecast, […]

Continue Reading

FRI 21 JUNE: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on June 21, 2013 in Videos with 0 Comments

[s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”VID210613.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’https://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’https://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /] Next week is looking good with high pressure dominating.

Continue Reading

FRI 21 JUNE: UK & IRELAND WEEKEND FORECAST

Written by on June 21, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Scotland Enjoy the beautiful sunshine to end the day as wet and windy weather is approaching western shores. The wet and windy weather is associated with a low pressure system which is set to dominate the weather this weekend and will present ‘typical soggy conditions for the Royal Highland Show at Ingliston. Lows tonight, no lower than 10-13C, winds fresh […]

Continue Reading

Major Western Ridge, Great Lakes Trough & Cool In Southeast Next Week

Written by on June 21, 2013 in United States of America with 0 Comments

Quick look at the ECMWF upper pattern for the next 10 days and you know it’s about to get warm and humid again over the Northeast while a spell of very hot air spreads northeast into the Lower Midwest this weekend with a potential ‘peaking’ of the heat Sunday or Monday with potential mid-90s for Minneapolis […]

Continue Reading

Top