It’s looking like a rather wet, windy Halloween if you live anywhere from the Mississippi River on east with the core of heaviest wind driven precip focused on the Ohio and Tennessee Valley. The storm system tracks NE up through the Great Lakes where it deepens but because of the +NAO, this system pretty much lifts up into Canada rather than sliding east.

Here’s the ECMWF surface/precip chart for the next few days and you can see the soaking soaking and tightly packed isobars indicating gusty winds. Mild to the east of the system so if you live in the east, the chill is gone till the weekend when backside NW winds kick in.

48 hrs

60 hrs

QPF shows the decent rain totals stretching from the eastern Plains to Appalachians with far less precip east of the mountains.

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

Shot of cool follows but nothing particularly cold.

The +NAO and -PNA means the storms take focus on the West next week and the next one looks to be another Rockies/Intermountain West snowmaker. Possible snow for Denver? Maybe!

Note the trough digging over the West. If your in the Plains on east, more warmth to come and this setup looks likely to dominate a good chunk of November.

Another chilly shot follows but AO is positive, so don’t expect anything major in terms of cold not just next week for over the next 2-3.

My Official US Winter Forecast shall be released Friday!

[/s2If][s2If is_user_logged_in() AND current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)]

That’s it, [s2Get constant=”S2MEMBER_CURRENT_USER_DISPLAY_NAME” /]!

To continue reading, you need to have a valid subscription to access premium content exclusive to members. Please join a subscription plan if you would like to continue.[/s2If][s2If !is_user_logged_in()]

Sign in to read the full forecast…

Not yet a member? Join today for unlimited access

Sign up to markvoganweather.com today to get unlimited access to Mark Vogan’s premium articles, video forecasts and expert analysis.
[/s2If]