Archive for September, 2012
If you are into WILD WEATHER then this pattern is the one for you. The jet is buckling majorly over North America and the strong storm that produced 120 mph wind gusts over southern Alaska is acting like a major heat pump, effectively it’s pulling sub-tropical air out of the central Pacific and forcing it […]
The heavy, stinging showers of today should ease through tonight with some lingering in places but with a flow drawing increasingly cooler air down from the NW, under those clear skies, it will feel cold tonight. Even in those passing showers, temperatures may hover at only 5 or 6C with sleet or snow falling over […]
There’s a heck of an early season cold period coming over the next 2 weeks for a large chunk of the US, east of the Rockies and for Europe, You’ve been warned! Given it’s still only mid-September, the pattern evolving is one of great interest both the NAO and AO going into the tank. Models have been […]
Typhoon Sanba came crashing ashore early this morning (around 6am local time) local time in the northeast of the southern Japanese island of Okinawa as an estimated 120 mph (Cat 3) storm. Wind gusts were measured at approximately 149 mph according to JTWC. As well as packing tremendous, screaming winds, it also dumped a tremendous amount of rainfall across the island which […]
I thought I would cover a little on the warm AMO that we’re seeing and just how strong it has become. This is a key driver in our weather these days not just locally surrounding the basin itself but globally. This warm AMO is controlling or at least is having a strong influence on many […]
If the pattern that’s evolving next week was to be 3 months from now, I would have had plenty of snow and cold in the forecast for the UK, unfortunately it’s only mid-Sept BUT we are likely to see our first ‘cold’ days with highs struggling in Scotland, Northern England and a large parts of Ireland to only […]
You’ll be well aware of the first in a series of troughs which will drop out of Canada early next week bringing unusually chilly air for so early so early into the Great Lakes, Midwest and Ohio Valley. The question is how cool will it get and how far south. From what I’m seeing just now, Monday through Wednesday will see […]
Thankfully, Sanba spinning away in the Western Pacific has weakened ever so slightly but remains an extremely danagerous 150-mph Super Typhoon (Category 4 eqiv), down from 175 mph earlier where gusts were estimated at around 207 mph. The intensity of this storm has been measured in comparison to Hurricanes Rita and Katrina within exploded over the Central Gulf of Mexico back in 2005 where […]
We have a very interesting pattern is evolving across the Northern Hemisphere over the next 2-3 weeks starting early next week as the latest ensembles suggest a significant tanking in both the NAO and AO. This follows a couple of weeks of positive. In the chart above, this shows the level of blocking expected and you can clearly see this […]
Thought I would do a brief post just to clarify how strong I think winds will be overnight tonight. While not a big deal really south of Cumbria with a stiff breeze blowing for most, it should be a rather windy old night throughout Scotland and across the northern half of Northern Ireland and the Donegal areas […]
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