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Photo of Yellowstone National Park (courtesy of Wikipedia)
30-below normal days and earliest snows, just my imagination or is it a little early for this?
– By Mark Vogan
Billings on Monday topped off at 36 degrees, some 30 below normal, they also received a new daily record snow amount of 4.6 inches. Despite a balmy 54 yesterday (Tuesday) Billings will be heading for a stunning display of cold for early October when highs only top the 20s! Yes, early October!
Why so cold for the Rockies and across the Northern Plains over the next 5-7 days will be because of a major Arctic pool hanging over the Northwest Territories is making a move southeast into Montana today and will then push eastwards throughout the weekend as the trough pushes east bringing a chance of snow to Minneapolis and Chicago and even Detroit.
I would not be surprised to see an accumulating snow in Minneapolis or certainly over the northern suburbs and a light dusting over the western and northern suburbs of Chicago, but well away from the lake. This Arctic air mass is strong for early October and the potential is in place now for major records to fall for cold and indeed snow, heaviest October snowfalls and earliest is a possibility in many places. Wind chills below zero from Montana to Wisconsin with some of the coldest nooks seeing highs only in the upper teens to low 20s, lows in those same places getting into single digits would be remarkable for so early on.
Amazingly the first 5 days of October 2009 has displayed colder-then normal coast to coast with an amazing 15 below normal for Big Piney, WY. Death Valley, a place you wouldn’t associate with “below normal” has run an impressive 10 below normal for the first 5 days, not being able to buy a hot day since the start of the month . The warmest being 95 on the 3rd and a chilly 81 for a high on the 5th. Nights are cool also with light jackets probably required with 55-degree lows.
Average temps for the first 6 days of October 2009 (Figures courtesy of AccuWeather Professional)
Boulder, CO -9
Los Angeles -2. 8
Las Vegas -9
Ely, NV -14. 2
Denver -10
Pocatello, ID -12
Butte, MT -10
Big Piney, WY -15
Bismarck, ND -6.7
Waterloo, IA -7.2
Aurora, IL -6.1
Chicago, IL -5.4
New York City -1.6
Atlantic City, NJ -0.1
Baltimore -2.6
Boston -1.0
Minneapolis -7.3
Athens, GA -1. 1
Los Angeles -2. 8
Las Vegas -9
Ely, NV -14. 2
Denver -10
Pocatello, ID -12
Butte, MT -10
Big Piney, WY -15
Bismarck, ND -6.7
Waterloo, IA -7.2
Aurora, IL -6.1
Chicago, IL -5.4
New York City -1.6
Atlantic City, NJ -0.1
Baltimore -2.6
Boston -1.0
Minneapolis -7.3
Athens, GA -1. 1
It shall be interesting to see how these numbers go as the month progresses and will be we numbers continue to getting colder than normal as the next week brings some record breaking cold from MT to the Lakes. I believe we are in for one of the coldest Octobers on record for a large chunk of the Northern states with record snowfall and cold literally not seen in 30 + years.
My question to you is, is this becoming a trend, below normal?? Or is it a fluke and this month will just average near normal or even above?
Is this a trend from what we have seen throughout the summer with continued heat across the Southern States and the already cold deficits of the June-August period is just going to grow stronger as we head towards winter.. A solar minimum combined with a weakening (NOT strengthening one like many believe) combined with a cold PDO and the overall cooling down on both ocean and land is leading me and many others out there to think that not only will this winter be cold and snowy but the trend will become steadfast and certain as the very low solar cycle is concerning me greatly as it continues to plunge deeper and deeper into hibernation.
This like previous cycles is running singing to the same tune as historical earth-sun cool down relationships and the is now, not in 5 or 10 years, but NOW at a state in which tremendous, dangerous, killer cold can develop and sweep across the nations. October 2009 with it’s remarkable snowfalls and cold and the even colder air that’s coming down from Canada will be a sure sing of greater things to come. A weak El Nino and “warm” Pacific has still produced blockbuster cold and snow in the eastern US and UK. But what’s worryingly different and concerning is, we didn’t have a solar cycle so low (lowest in 75 years) and it’s the current cycle 23 is lasting a very long time.. The Pacific is colder but the Atlantic, though cooled over the past year or so is paving the way for stunning potential from old man winter in 2009-10.…
Stay tuned and let the party begin my friends. October is not winter yet, but what we shall see as MT towns see highs some 30 to 40 below normal will be a sign of things to come this winter. Don’t be surprised, you’ve been warned!
Thanks for reading.





>i was thinking about removing my windshield to avoid those mornings of scraping. Who needs em any way when you have a cool hood and a mighty trunk full of cider.
>It won't be long before those terrible windscreen scraping mornings.
>This morning minimum temparature was 3.4 degrees C this morning at Lochgelly. Thats cold enough for a dusting of snow.