>- By Mark Vogan

Throughout history, there have been times of Glacial Advance and times of Glacial Retreat. Since 1979, the earth has undergone a retreat of the Glaciers to a point in which promoters of man-made Global Warming has made mention that the melting witnessed across the world of both sea ice and glaciers is the worse ever, ignoring the fact that it’s all happened before, during the medieval warm period and during the early 1900s and the melting of the past was worse than during the current global warming period. By watching the past 2 winters and the summers that followed and the major drivers that have produced them as well as other outlying elements such as solar cycles and volcanic activity, I believe we may have already begun a new Glacial Advance period which will likely last the next 25-30 years, during such time, we will see brutal cold return and therefore bringing the glaciers and Global Sea Ice back to historic “peaks” How can I explain how and why we have already begun a period of glacial advance?
There has been no evidence of earth warming but plenty to suggest the opposite.. Reports coming out of Alaska in the summer of 2008 suggested glacial advance there as well as unseasonable midsummer chills.

Other large scale factors are important to consider. They are.

FACTOR 1 – WATER VAPOR INCREASES AS EARTH COOLS DOWN, 2) EARTH‘S COOLING MEANS THAT WATER VAPOR CAN TURN MORE TO SNOWFALL 3) MORE REFLECTION FROM SNOW COVERED GROUND AS WELL AS HIGHER CONCENTRATION OF GLOBAL CLOUDCOVER MEANS A COLDER EARTH.
Snow first, then cold
I personally believe in order to see extreme cold with records breaking, which is happening more and more, we must see snow FIRST not after! The increase in New England snowfall as well as across the Midwest (most snow on record for many areas) as well as out West is creating an much more conducive environment for cold to growing stronger and weaken less with bountiful reflective snow cover. Less summer Arctic Ice Melt, with the colder and longer winters, mean a stronger Arctic high pressure can form also.

In order to see extreme cold and record cold, we must see a lot of the white stuff, covering a larger area than what has been seen over the past 20 years. Once coverage of snow over continents continue to expand, then we shall see the net temperature fall, setting the base for pockets of super cold air to settle over a region or continent, once the pattern is established, then new records on a large scale can be achieved. The problem in the last 30 years has been, sure we have seen record cold, but the overall temperature has been warmer, as the world’s oceans and earth’s temperature has been climbing in a natural fashion, therefore it’s tougher to see significant cold. Less snow, means less cold, isolated regions of snow or a much broader area with a paltry snow pack will mean a weaker cold pool will settle, but cover your continents with snow cover and there’s little warming achievable from the sun.

Basic physics of cold weather always will state that in order to witness the coldest nights you MUST see snow cover, so that incoming solar energy cannot penetrate the surface of the earth, whether it be, grass, soil, roads etc that collect heat and then release it at night, keeping nights warmer, even if to you and I it “feels” very cold, the true cooling potential is not met when the ground is bare. Snow cover is one of the most efficient reflective elements on our planet.
Last winter and the previous winter has seen an INCREASE IN SNOWFALL over the European Alps, the American West, Midwest, Great Lakes and New England. Last summer as well as likely this past summer witnessed year round skiing over the Alps. In order to ski throughout the summer months you must have plenty of snow but cold enough temperatures to keep that snow on the ground.

North America I believe will be the first continent to say goodbye to Global Warming with Asia and eastern Europe following and finally central and Western Europe. In order to see this process in a very simplistic way, we must increase snow covered ground continue cooling the oceans as is the case presently and this will dramatically cool the air. Once higher amounts of snow covers the earth, this feeds back to stronger Arctic high’s with warming less by bare ground and warm oceans. The Pacific has begun the process of cooling the earth and this is showing signs across North America. A few bitter Canadian winters is thickening up the Arctic Sea Ice, meaning slower ice melt in summer and later warming in spring and into summer. One of the major reasons for eastern North America seeing such a cold start to summer was because of the extent and severity of cold winter left behind, built up from the summer of 2008. The slower or lack of Ice Melt on the central and eastern Arctic Ocean and almost complete ice cover of Hudson Bay in late June, meant a cold May, June and July over the eastern Third of the US, this leads to colder winters as there is less recovery needed of the Arctic ice from summer melt.
Canada is the country to watch as global warming is soon to disappear there first as winters have gotten much colder, snow cover is increasing and summers are getting cooler OVERALL, forget the warmer than normal summer in the West of Canada and Alaska as that was a by-product of colder air in the east of the continent. If it wasn’t for that cold over the mid-section and east of the country, you simply would not have had that intensity of heat in the West.

I strongly believe significant records are due to be threatened and a major rewriting of the global cold records is about be seriously challenged and likely broken over the coming winters ahead. As increased cloud cover, turns to increased water vapor and this works with colder air temperature, this will result in increased snowfall which we are clearly seeing with late September witnessing nearly every continent on the planet with snow falling. More snow and snow that covers more of a continent and world means new cold benchmarks are ahead.
The fact that Australia has witnessed one of it’s best snow years, early snows are falling in the Alps, Western North America is makes me believe it’s colder, earlier, does this have the making of severe cold when winter hits? Could we see some significant records broken this winter?
Why I believe it’s very possible..

1) El Nino that is rippling it’s pool of hot water westwards into the central Pacific is a perfect signal to a cold North American East Coast, Western Europe winter…

2) The colder North Atlantic waters will do two things. 1) encourage less weakening of cold air masses should they cover Britain and Western Europe and eastern North America but 2) often enhances the chance of a negative North Atlantic Oscillation which produces a high pressure to form over Greenland and this dumps Arctic troughs into western Europe including the United Kingdom as well as Eastern Canada and the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic region of America, including Washington DC, New York and Montreal..

3) The Solar Cycle which is lowest in 70 years may have played a role in colder winters such as last years in Europe and North America and recent downturn of temperatures on the large scale but the many factors could be the perfect set up to an historic hemisphere-wide winter ahead.

Thanks for reading.