>EDITED: My explaination for why earlier Global Warming episodes of history were worse than today’s

Written by on July 28, 2009 in Rest of Europe with 1 Comment

>Over recent days I have felt the need to talk a lot about global warming. A subject that is becoming increasingly popular both in the media and public. Some say there is such a thing as manmade Global Warming, some say there isn’t such a thing and others say yes there is global warming but it’s not caused by man. I will go with the last one. Yes there is global warming, has been since the end of the last cold episode back at the turn of the 1980s after a decade riddled with snow and cold.
OK, I have spent some time, not a lot, but some looking at heat records. Several things stand out. 1) There was a heck of a lot of records that were set a loooong time ago and still stand today funnily enough, yet I am being told that every passing year, we are seeing a rise in overal global temperature, with many of recent years seeing new peaks, surely the earth could do it in better style as we aren’t seeing what I would expect to see and that is cooling of the Pacific (which if you look at history, that’s normal after a 20-30 year warming episide. Claims are abound by alarmists that our earth continues to heat up, yet the Pacific has returned to a cold PDO and the Atlantic shows signs of temperature drop off. One of the coldest July’s on record from North Dakota to New York is about to end with Chicago possibly failing to hit 87 degrees for the first time in over 130 years in July. We have seen the start to one of the quietest hurricane seasons worldwide, so how are things continuing to warm?. Those guys making the billions and winning emmys and oscars are living their theories in the shadow of an even warmer era globally than now and strangely enough, it was before any of them were even born.
1930s were warmer than the 1980s/90s

1936 stands out. The worst heat wave to ever strike the United States, yes there were other reasoning behind such heat including an historic drought, the great depression etc, but with all the talk these days about melting Arctic and Antarctic sea ice, sea level rise, higher frequency and power if hurricanes, greater heat waves, higher heat related deaths etc, then how haven’t we came close to the level of heat seen back in the 1930s when our earth has already commenced it’s downward trend in temperature from it’s SO CALLED peak in 1998? Claims of course remain that are world continues warming, but misleading of information to an uneducated public will stick but to those who understand climate a little better know there’s more to it than simply now, over a 10 to 20 year period what we are doing to our atmosphere is going to wipe us off the map. I’m sorry but this planet and mankind has been around too long to all of a sudden change things and ultimately destroy the planet simply because of CO2. Like your Hitlers, Sadam’s, Bin Laden’s, Al Gore, James Hansen and others are just another dictator, sending the wrong message out. Their powers that try to take charge and rule, scaring people into believing that what we are doing is destroying everything, pay now or be sorry, but where’s the garentee that where my money is going will be used wisely? Where’s the garentee that their right? Al Gore, James Hansen and followers have created a massive conspiracy which will get more and more out of control, changing government legislation, forcing people from their jobs and will create war eventually!

Relating to the past 6 months alone, 2009 began with record cold in January from Alaska to New Jersey. Iowa hit 40 below zero, windchills dipped to near 60 below zero. March and April saw continued bitter cold, Canada was still seeing temps hit 50 below zero in the Praires. May was one of the coldest months on record in central Canada and Hudson Bay remained ice covered completely till mid-June. July will now end one of the coldest ever for the Midwest and much of the east down to the upper Tennessee valleys.
With all the doomsdays scenarios playing out. It was said hurricanes would become more numerous and stronger, congering up images of a line of cat 5’s marching across the super heated Atlantic and ready to create hell on the US East Coast. Heatwaves would become more numerous and longer lasting as well as more intense, maybe even nonstop from May to September. Another statement in recent NOAA publications state that there is less snow, cold and frost, basically in a few years from now, there will be no such thing as winter. Tell me was there an Al Gore equivilent back in 1936 when the Plains was blistering in it’s hottest ever weather known to man. I mean, back then there was all-time records falling literally uninterupted from Oklahoma to New York and Boston. Just how hot are we talking, Mark?

Central Park was topping 106, Boston 102, Baltimore 107. Maryland 109, Manitoba 112, Waterloo, Iowa 112, Saginaw, Michigan 111, Minneapolis 108, Alton, Kansas 121, Minden, Nebraska 118, Steele, North Dakota 121. These are temperature you just don’t see these days.
How did folks cope with no AC in those days? Now it hits 90 and the AC is on full blast and straining the power grid. In Chris Burt’s, Extreme Weathe book, I notice every listing from Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Maryland ALL have all-time record in the 20s, 30s and 40s, the last true global warming era, every single US state has records that remain today that were set in the 1930s and, check this out.. 32 states have recorded their state record hottest between the 1900s
to 1940s..
Hurricanes seasons
2004-2005 is likely were the peak of the warm Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation which reflected in a rapid rise in tropical Cyclone activity in the Atlantic but did not bring an increase in landfalling cat 4s and 5’s like a lot of alarmists say would happen, in fact much attention to Katrina’s fury is focused on damage and loss of life, yet it’s final power was that of a weak to moderate cat “3” system, it’s size and power combined along with location in which it hit, was why the result was so devastating but no relationship is found between Katrina and global warming. January of 2006 was warm across the lower 48, and was recorded as the warmest January on record, yes, sure, but again hearlding a mere “peak” is the overall natural warming cycle the earth goes through every 20-30 years, nothing more than that, You probably saw a warmer year, but remember, technology is better and greater coverage of weather stations and meathods of recording draws up an easy conclusion to “warmest”. What do we base warmest on? 50-60-70 years? What about the years prior to that? Oh, there was thermometers out there then? How many, are you telling me there was the same amount of thermometeres in the early 1900s and there are in 2009? When we look and July 2006, I call it a very undesputed “wimp” compared to 1936. California did see some very impressive heat! 119 in Woodland Hills, ouch! The other pocket was the Nebraska to North Dakota region, where came close to actually matching 36? South Dakota with a tie, NOT a new record! Anywhere else? No, hum, that’s dissapointing considering there were 12 new state records set and countless cities from the Plains to Eastern Seaboard in 36.. New record were hit in the Dakotas and Nebraska but that was about all. Heat waves in the 80s and 90s illustrated a weaker version of the 1920s, 30s and 40s across the South and Northeast with areas setting new records but you would expect that during a natural warming period, especially when population and city environments swell. In fact you would think the heat we have seen in the 80s, 90s and 2000s would have been worse. Evidence of a weaker global warming period than the earlier part of the 19th century.

Hurricanes were also stronger and more frequent during the era of hotter, longer heat waves, Atlantic and Pacific likely heated more then than now and therefore even more summer ice melt than today’s claims.. But in this report I am only talking about today’s global warming compared to global warming which started where the remarkable, deep, dark cold years of the 1880s to 1910 (worse than the 60s and 70s.. What about global warming and cooling in the earlier years, of course today, we’re very fortunate that “so far” things are quiet. There were greater heat and cold periods hundreds of years ago, of course you have the ice age and little ice age and times when Greenland was tropical and Scotland was more like Hawaii. But with a modest global warming that’s on it’s last legs, we better watch what we wish for as I believe our plnet is overdue a deep colling phase again, regulating and refreshing the entire system.

CITY EXPANSION AND URBAN HEAT ISLAND still couldn’t help out
What also is very evident to me when comparing 36 to 06 is that with current growth of American cities and with greater coverage of asphalt and concrete you would think the heat generated by power, buildings and humans would increase air temperature and with an increase in overall global or regional temperature because of human-induced warming, why have we not see a greater number of records broken? The warmest temperature since 2000 in New York City has been 102, set in August 2001, since then, we haven’t seen a single 100 at Central Park. Philadelphia hasn’t even seen 100 since August of that year either, yet this was just after the so-called warmest year on record in 1998. July 2006, the second hottest July couldn’t produce a single “official city 100” from Philadelphia to Boston, yes it may have been 100 south of Philly but that is a region that’s easier to get to 100 during typical summers because of their more southerly and inland position. But in days of global warming and the remarkable inacuracy of claim that rise of CO2 is increasing air temperature is very wrong considering we have a greater number of cars and trucks driving the highways and more airplanes than ever polluting the US and global airspace, yet, things aren’t as warm as 1936, when less people were around, cities were smaller and I don’t think there were many planes around either, lol.
The whole city growth and expansion is what really inspired me to write this as surfacing reports of increasing heat waves are becoming a concern as our earth grows warming and more unstable by the minute. I’ll be honest with you, if I was around in 1936 when we saw Minnesota top a desert-like 114 and remarkable 121 next door in North Dakota, I would have believed global warming..
Also mentioned was an increase in death, considering over 5,000 people died in the greatest heat disaster in US history, I think a reduction is more likely with sporadic deaths during heat waves which are typical and common during summertime, there is nothing out of the ordinary about heatwaves and record temps whether it be during cold or warm cycles of the planet. Recent heat in the South like in 2007 is 1) a cause of the natural cycle and current global warming episode and 2) cyclical ocean oscillations of warm and cold change rainfall patterns, therefore warm AMO’s favor Southern droughts and therefore hotter temperatures. I can believe that, higher number of homeless people would allow for higher death rates in cities, poorer people that can’t afford AC in their homes are nowadays the likely candidates for death, but the media and alarmists like to make out that it’s the actual “hotter temperatures” which is false for a start because we aren’t seeing temps rise, but quite the opposite, so death is manmade not the climate. Expensive AC and lack of shelter day and night cause problems to people as well as the frail and young, oh and the people who stupidly leave children in cars whilst they go shopping.?
West appears to see hotter summers and temps, Is that man-made global warming?
If there was anywhere that I truely believed was getting warmer, it was out West since recent trends have showed rise to temps, but there are key things to consider 1) the cycle of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation which alters, wet and dry seasons across the West. Drier times equal hotter times as stronger highs build in summer. If this is the case, then why are we seeing hottest temps ever being recorded over recent years? This brings me to point 2) It’s all about building a city in a place that it shouldn’t be.. This is where “man-made” does tie into “Desert Southwest” warming. Take the global warming side of it, increase in global temperature, yes… increase desert cities at an alarming rate, created and caused by man, yes… equals hottest temperatures. Same for areas of the East, bigger cities such as Atlanta and areas of the South over recent years have seen records fall that date further back perhaps than 1936, afterall, how difficult can it be to see areas break all-time records? Every once in a while you will see heat waves and new all-time records set but the major difference here is that despite an OVERALL INCREASE in earth’s temperature, it’s likely that the earth’s temperature was warmer and newer records are falling in regional not national heat waves and is helped greatly by urban heat island, increasing the temperature in and around the city but also holding on to nighttime heat, reasoning for a much higher number of nighttime lows getting broken, because of bigger cities, then the bar is higher for daytime heating, it’s easier to reach higher levels by afternoon when you started off warmer thanks to the thermomter thatwas once surrounded by fields is now sitting beside a concrete surface. Explaing why there are more night, heat records falling than daytime, interestingly, daytime highs are still subpar despite greater sized cities and a warm planet…
Currently we are seeing record heat blister the Pacific Northwest and all the way to the Arctic Circle of North America, well, 1) its summer 2) it’s the atmosphere balancing things out, the earths energy budget needs to keep things equal, so therefore heating somwhere means, cooler somewhere else. To support the magnitude of cool across the Midwest for this amount of time, means, extreme on the other end need to happen to level things out, even if it means driving 90s into the Yukon. I don’t believe for a minute that Seattle and Portland would be this hot there wasn’t so much cold to the east. Plus it’s easy access for air to move north with the pattern as to how the jet is oriented. Least path of resistence. The hot house is in the Southwest, force powerful chilly air deep into the center of the continent, you will naturally force the core of heat north. Push on one side, you force a reaction on the other, it doesn’t stay stationary….
The key these days however in all this is that the NET temp is cooling off it’s late 90s (1998) peak, What the problem then becomes is, the Pacific cooling, still, warm atlantic brings confliction within the atmosphere and therefore explaining the possible reason” if true” to an increase is storminess. Cooling down in front of still warm, means storms. Not because the net temperature of earth is warming… Look at the tropics, wheres the storms? I thought it was the second warmest June on record? Rising temps would mean stronger more frequent hurricanes… Oh but the oceans are scientifically proven to be cooling… Hum.. What’s Al Gore got to say. Oh course he will religously point to his “theory chart” whilst James Hansen points to his super hot models…

How come the tropical Atlantic has cooled? Shouldn’t we be seeing a very active Pacific basin tropical season by now since the Pacific is bordering or already formed El Nino? Globally the tropics are about as quiet as ever reported… The vast mass of cold air circling the entire Eastern half of North America is a byproduct of 2 winters build by a cold Pacific Ocean and jolted with a strong La Nina in 2008.
We are seeing great warmth over Europe right now, but a warmer than normal Mediterranean which is normal with warm AMO’s is allowing a strong high and therefore supporting intense heat, normal at the stage in the current cycle we’re in. Cold PDO but an El Nino, 1) El Ninos aren’t as strong or lengthy during cold PDO’s so don’t bet on a great impact on the warm side of things with this El Nino, warmer-than normal in Southwest US is typical for time of season and the stretching of the hot dome into western Canada and up into Alaska is likely normal when you see just how much cold there is elsewhere over the continent. El Nino may also be feeding back in bringing the ridge further north and setting the stage to a warmer winter across the western continent, a reprieve from two colder winters, it’s now the East’s turn with the winter show coming up.
This warming phase, we’re now coming to an end of with real chills set to tighten grip between 2012-2015 is a mere bump in the road of earth’s long cycles of warm and cold. It’s evident our planet has be warmer before than today, there’s always going to be record breaking heat, busy hurricane seasons, warming and cooling of the oceans, volcanic activity which also swings earth’s temperature out of wack, solar cycles which rise and fall and unfortunately there are prolonged times when earth cools greater than normal every once every few thousand years, when the solar cycle alters it’s normal pattern. The last era in which we saw deep cooling, greater than what’s typical was in the late 1800s to early 1900s, this was the time the sun went “dead” the Dalton Minimum, worries are growing in the astronomical world about another Dalton Minimum approaching, this is when rumors will fly of a new ice age as ice floes enter the Gulf of Mexico and Iceberg’s floe past New Jersey, but many of the summer records we’re breaking now with the magnitude of cold this July and reflecting that of the late 18th century, early 19th century when you look at when it was last this chilly in July, it’s strangely refers to readings dating back to the late 1800s, early 1900s. From great cold with 1899 the coldest ever period across the US as a nation was followed by great warmth (1930s).
Currently we are still in the warm end of the cycle but changes are being seen with the cool down of Pacific, watch as the Atlantic cools, after “record ice melt” in the Arctic which happened regularly through the planets flucuating cycles we see things change as earth’s battery starts to lose power. The power source (the sun) is weakening, therefore it’s just the beginning of another cold phase in the ongoing cycles of our planet’s ocean-atmosphere complex and will likely go on for ever more.
I think we really need to seriously look at our inferior temperature records.. they have such a short time span, how can we seriously consider these recent years as the “warmest” the way we measure ocean temperature is different and new so how on earth can we say our world’s ocean are warmest and our land-ocean net temperature is highest when we only have records of perhaps 50 years or so for oceans and 150 years at best for land, some areas have records going back 200 years but these are still inadiquate.

Thanks for reading.
-Mark

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  1. True Tech Heating Services Oklahoma City says:

    >i think we should now take care our environment. we should need to balance our technologies and natural environment.

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