United States of America
I am growing particularly interested in the behaviour and trend we’re seeing with the NAO. Although still a long way off, the type of upcoming winter may already be shown and following the disappointment and bust of last year, I am wanting to look closely and show you what I’m seeing. For EUROPE that is since the US […]
Finally it would appear the African wave train is becoming more pronounced as the Azores high (eastern part of the mid-Atlantic) is weakening and easterly trades are weaken, thus more upward motion! Notice the plume of Saharan dust is further north and west where ridging and large-scale sinking is more prevalent. There’s a lot more […]
By driving an autumnal Great Lakes low within an overall warm air mass and you’ve got the recipe for some wild weather. As most of us know, warm and cold do not mix but add TROPICAL moisture into the mix and you’ve got trouble. The perfect ingredients came together for not 1, 2 but 3 MAJOR and historic […]
The title says it all. It ain’t happening! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Current SST’s CFSv2 projections. On par with the modoki Nino or central Pacific based Nino which supports in itself a colder N America and Europe for the winter ahead. Jamstec sees it! [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
With the exceptions of the West and perhaps surprisingly, East Coast, it’s been a cool, wet but comfortable, low energy summer with a distinct lack of 90 degree heat. The East Coast itself has been average to slightly above average but that’s largely down to warm water keeping the air more humid thus keeping nights warmer. Unsurprisingly, July was […]
The unusual blocking pattern continues to bring extremes across the US. This time it’s in the form of rainfall with weekend flooding across parts of the Carolinas. Thanks to the passing of an unusually strong summer low through the Great Lakes, extreme rain and flash flooding struck the Detroit, MI area yesterday. How significant? An all-time record rainfall for August and […]
The rains continue pouring on the East while they shall ease in the West. Flooding hit the Carolinas this weekend. Focus shifts north and south this upcoming 7 days as seen by the QPF below. While some models show a warm end to August, the CFSv2 has turn chilly. CFSv2 temps for August Still experiencing issues with […]
Iselle has been battering Hawaii’s eastern chain throughout the past 12-24 hours with damaging wind and flooding rain. The system however has been rapidly weakening on final approach with a downgrade to TS status ahead of landfall. Therefore there was technically no ‘first hurricane landfall in 22 years’. Poor representation of a tropical cyclone this morning with […]
For the first time in nearly 20 years, a hurricane looks set to make a direct landfall on paradise. Through the rest of today, Iselle is expected to Cat 1, 80 mph intensity as she makes landfall tonight on Hawaii’s Big Island where a rare hurricane warning is currently in effect. Originally, it was thought that both cooler subsurface waters […]
As you know, Hawaii is currently under the gun of not one but two hurricanes with hurricane warning’s up for Hawaii’s Big Island. Pretty rare given they only had a direct hit by a storm or hurricane twice since 1954. While Iselle is expected to weaken to a tropical storm before impacting paradise, the system has in […]
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