United Kingdom & Ireland
While I am trying to figure out the pattern over the next few weeks, the best way I can explain what I am seeing right now is a seesaw with the continuation of an active Atlantic pattern, it’s a very up and down pattern. I am trying to understand how this pattern is evolving as we’re […]
Shutterstock General Synopsis A frontal boundary drapped across the Southern half of the British Isles will have another wave of low pressure push along it through tonight bringing yet more heavy rain to the same areas which got soaked last night. The low and trough which has been so persistent over the past 5 days […]
I am strapped for time this morning so this is a short write-up, however the video goes into detail. Video is lengthy but I make several points which I want to you know about regarding this pattern. This is an important period, potentially a cross roads with the NAO returning to positive for a time. […]
Shutterstock General Synopsis The overall synoptic chart across the Atlantic is currently very complex with many low pressure centres dominating. The nearest low to the UK is north of Shetland at around 988 mb and over the next 24 hours it will track east and deepen, becoming a decent storm for southern Scandinavia. It is this low which has dominated the […]
Back on Sunday I made mention of the frost threat Wednesday night and probably Thursday night too as a clear slot developed in between systems. Sure enough, the North Highlands got off to a cold start this morning with a widespread frost following a night of clear, calm skies. Though chilly further south, a breeze as well as passing showers kept temperatures […]
Shutterstock General Synopsis The overall synopsis supports a two large troughs either side of the North Atlantic Ocean with one positioned over the British Isles and the other over the Northwest Atlantic. Both are complex with multiple centres.There is a fairly deep trough now well over the UK with low heights supporting very cold air […]
In both Winters of 2009-10 and 2010-11 my long range seasonal forecast turned out successful but last year that success came to a crashing halt. Since then I have been studying the global pattern, ocean sea surface temperatures across the world as well as observing closely what our weather pattern has been telling us ever since last year. I’ve learned […]
Shutterstock General Synopsis The overall synopsis across the Atlantic supports a low due north of the UK and due east of Iceland at around 988 mb, high positioned to the south of the UK neasr Azores at around 1020. Another high over Greenland at 1020 and a low over the Northwest Atlantic at around 996 mb.The low […]
The storms continue lining up across the Atlantic with low pressure dominating the UK and it looks set to remain that way up till at least the weekend. Here’s the GFS surface chart for 3 hrs from now. Note the storm east of Iceland, this is driving our weather by sending fronts, rotating around this system […]
Scotland Over the course of today, there has been considerable shower activity driven in on a fresh to strong southerly. Temperatures this afternoon across Scotland are cool, ranging between 11-13C as of 3pm. Winds are blowing out of the SW or WSW, averaging 5-15 mph widely but in exposed western areas or at higher elevation, 18-25 mph with gusts […]
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