United Kingdom & Ireland
While Easter 2020 will be far from anything anybody’s witnessed before, the weather will actually be not too dissimilar to last year which turned out record warm throughout the UK. https://twitter.com/MarkVogan/status/1251907422438019074 Like last Easter, we have a nice warm, near summer-like high centred east of the UK off the Danish, Dutch coast, as this system […]
The global driving mechanisms of ENSO, IOD and MJO which drove the hemisphere’s warmest winter and UK’s wettest February on record have finally changed gear but much too late for the snow and cold lover unfortunately. As a result of this ‘gear change’ combined with the natural seasonal shift, the westerlies have slackened and ridging […]
A strong, stable stratospheric polar vortex dominated much of the 2019-20 boreal winter, driving warm oceanic air across the continents. We’ve almost certainly observed the warmest winter since the beginning of the satellite era (1979) throughout the Northern Hemisphere. Globally, January 2020 was earth’s warmest since the beginning of the satellite era in 1979. Following […]
Winter 2019-20 could not be any different to the winter of a decade ago. In fact it’s the polar opposite to 2009-10 which was one of the coldest. 2019-20 will go down as one of the warmest for the entire hemisphere never mind North America or Europe. Cities such as Oslo and Helsinki received their […]
Thanks to the collision of arctic and tropical air over North America and the North Atlantic, the jet stream crossing the pond has intensified to supersonic speed, creating the perfect incubator for rapid cyclogenesis and formation of the Atlantic’s deepest depressions in several years. A visible satellite image captured this morning shows a storm system […]
Whether we blame the burning of fossil fuels, sun, oceans or nature cyclical variability, if we trust the graphs and data shown to us, then there’s no denying that our global temperature continues to rise. Recent years certainly ‘appear’ to be producing more heat than cold globally. There appears to be less global cooling following […]
November and autumn 2019 ended cold across Western and Northern Europe but winter’s opening month was largely milder than normal across much of the continent. November as a whole was colder than normal from Morocco, Iberia up through the British Isles and Ireland to Scandinavia. It was likely coldest for the UK since 2016 but […]
Welcome to my 10th annual winter forecast for Europe. This marks the 10th anniversary of the greatest winter of my lifetime and my greatest long range forecast. 2009-10 was a true old fashioned winter and a winter which will be firmly entrenched in my mind forever. It was a winter of frequent and often big […]
Atlantic low pressure has been a dominant feature over the northeast Atlantic/northwest Europe bringing a very wet October with record rainfall. The 3 former tropical cyclones which got caught by the westerlies and crossed a warmer than normal North Atlantic into Ireland and the UK enhanced the rainfall this month. Low pressure has resulted in […]
After a late August hot spell in which Glasgow topped 28.5C, September has a turn to wetter times for Northwest Europe and something drier for Iberia. Here are the September temp anomaly across Europe. October so far! As you can see it’s been much cooler, especially for central and northern Europe. Rainfall has been significant. […]
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