United Kingdom & Ireland
As an unusually deep June low spread heavy rain and strong winds into England and Wales, high pressure pumped intense early summer heat into eastern Scandinavia today. The thermometer climbed into the 30s for a few sites in Finland. A high of 32.2C at Oulu, this marked Finland’s earliest 32C on record. It was warmer […]
After a dry May, June and summer has opened soggy and on a very different note to last year. Low pressure has dominated the UK over the last 10 days and with SW winds blowing across warmer than normal water between the Azores and UK, rainfall has likely been enhanced some. Is there drier times […]
Despite a warmer middle part of May (especially for Scotland and Scandinavia), the month is winding up below normal throughout central and west-central Europe. Like in April, warmth has been the rule over Russia. A dry first half to the month has given way to a wetter 2nd half and a downright soggy finish for […]
Up until the 13th, May has been a very cool month unless you live in the southern half of Iberia or Russia. In fact the first half to May 2019 may have been the coldest in several years, especially for central Europe while warmest on record for Russia. The previous two May’s was dominated by […]
My hunch in my 2019 summer forecast may be coming to fruition as we enter mid-May. The consensus in most models show high pressure remaining largely dominant over or just north of Scotland through most of the remainder of May and into June. Give or take a few interruptions. With spells of lower heights down […]
The UK is in the cold air to end the week but through the weekend change arrives from the west as a deepening low tracks west to east across southern England/northern France bringing wind and gales, eventually this feature reaches Italy late Sunday into Monday. As the low drifts into Italy, our cold pool leaves […]
Welcome to my 9th annual European summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which have been taken into consideration which could influence the summer pattern. These include global and regional sea surface temperature anomalies, El Nino, the mild winter just observed and rainfall distribution over […]
Lot’s of talk about an impending heat wave coming up for the UK. As a matter of fact it’s turning cooler towards the weekend as an air mass of arctic origin dives south via a cold front. The model at 850mb shows the air that’s north of Scandinavia sweeping south. Convective snow showers could well […]
The month opened cold in the west and warm in the east across the continent but into April’s second week and the persistent Scandinavian block built south flipping the temperature pendulum the other way. This high has been the driver to April, both giving and taking. https://twitter.com/mikarantane/status/1118791860842106880 Just look at how dramatic the temperatures swung […]
Thanks to an unusually persistent area high pressure, rainfall has been considerably below normal this April and in turn has led to a spell of unusual April warmth. The dominant Scandinavian high initially brought a taste of late winter some 7-10 days ago but during the past week, many parts of the British Isles as […]
Recent Comments