United Kingdom & Ireland
The month of July has been, as forecast, a very changeable month dominated by lower than normal pressure. That lower than normal pressure has delivered frequent spells of rain and with more cloud than sunshine, sub-par temperatures. In fact, we may well have just went through our coldest July for the UK since 2012 and […]
The far north of Scotland typically sees the UK’s coldest temperatures during the height of summer, often falling to between 0 and 2C. Yesterday morning was no exception where Kinbrace, Sutherland dipped beneath clear, calm skies to a frosty -0.6C. The Kinbrace record low for July in -1.8C according to climate historian Maximiliano Herrera. Yesterday’s […]
June 2020 was largely dominated by low pressure and at the close of the month, a stalled area of low pressure over Scotland brought record rainfall. Position and stalled nature of this low was key to producing a new UK 24-hour June rainfall record. 1. Stalled low 2. Spiraling rain band crossing waters +4C above […]
2020 is following in 2018 and 2019’s footsteps in producing record heat in Scotland. While both Glasgow and Edinburgh set new all-time heat records in 2018 and 2019 respectively, a new June record was set in Prestwick, Ayrshire last Thursday. Forecast models had 28-29C for parts of south and central Scotland but it was the […]
The colder-than-normal waters sitting to the west of the UK and Ireland doesn’t appear to be going anywhere anytime soon. In fact the CFSv2 along with other models show it expanding and growing cooler still. Here’s the current SST anomaly for the North Atlantic. The CFSv2 for July has the cool SST anomaly expand and […]
June 2020 has been a changeable month with some spots seeing below normal rainfall, for others, considerably above normal. That’s the nature of thunderstorms and their localized nature. The first half of June was cool over Ireland and UK and downright chilly from Iberia to Italy, largely down to cloudier than normal skies and frequent […]
The summer’s first major hot spell is now building thanks to the expansion of a strong Scandinavian blocking high which shall push out fresh Atlantic air and pull in hot, continental air. This high can be seen strengthening west and south from Scandinavia on the GFS 500mb height anomaly chart below and will act as a […]
Despite the UK seeing it’s driest spring on record, nature is quickly catching up on it’s rainfall deficit. While I expected this flip and hush of drought and summer 2018 repeat talk, this has come quicker than I thought. In just the past 7 days of June alone, many sites have seen more rain than […]
We’ve went from an omega blocking pattern over the UK through much of May to a Scandinavia high-over Iberia/France trough so far this June. This has kept it very warm and dry across Scandinavia and unusually wet and cool across South-central and Southwest Europe. The current 2m temp anomaly for June so far says it […]
After one of the warmest, wettest 2nd half’s to winter followed by the driest, sunniest spring, we are now seeing the return of rains just as folks wonder if another summer 2018 was on it’s way. Nature has an amazing way at fooling us, keeping us on our toes as well as attempting to find […]
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