Seasonal Forecasts
No Cold Pattern In Sight For Europe Next 2-3 Weeks, Strat Warming Favours US Cold Like Past 2 Years!
For many of us hoping for a pattern change to colder, well we’ll need to remain patient as the AO remains strongly positive but is expected to drop towards weak negative in the next week or so. However, the NAO doesn’t show any real sign of getting much below neutral over the next few weeks and that means the Atlantic continues to rule. A […]
While it will be seasonably cold and snowy Out West this week, warmth builds up the Eastern Seaboard once again thanks to a storm system over the Plains. It’s still a few days out but there strong model agreement arm surge peaks Christmas Eve supporting temps 30 above normal widely. ALL-TIME December records may be threatened too with this […]
38 out of the last 54 Christmas Days have seen falling somewhere in the UK. Widespread white Christmases (including snow cover) are much rarer. The last one was the record-breaker of 2010 which not only saw 83% of station reporting snow on the ground but 19% of stations also recorded snow falling. 2015 looks brown for at least 80% of […]
Every weekend in the run up to New Year I thought it might be good to take a step back in time and relive some of America and Europe’s very worst, most extreme winters of the last 100+ years. The 1935-36 winter was tough for the majority of the US but particularly so for the Northern Rockies and Plains. For extreme cold, […]
Every Saturday in the run up to New Year, I thought it would be good to take a step back in time and relive some of our most brutal and legendry British and European winters of the last 100 years. Following a series of mild, wet and often windy winters, 2009-10 came along, reminding us that we can […]
In today’s post and final one of the week, I thought it would be appropriate to take a first in-depth look at the weather for Christmas week when 100 million are expected to hit the roads. In recent times, a strong Atlantic high positioned just off New England has helped deflect a very active Pacific storm cycle […]
The big story in the past week has been the level of warmth rather than storminess. The jet stream weakened following a hyper active open to the month. The slacker jet has meant lows have been held largely west of the UK thanks to a more dominant high over Europe. This setup has meant a persistent flow straight NNE from a warm Azores and Africa. […]
Before I get into today’s post I wanted to share with you a video taken by NOAA of the full lifecycle of the record tying 924mb Pacific bomb which came off China and blasted Alaska. This is a breathing capture of meteorological beauty, perfection and power. As the above title states, we’re heading for a very important crossroads. Late […]
As we continue to progress through December the connection between UK/Europe and the tropics continue. First it was warmth in November, then floods early December and now it’s back to warmth once again. Any real cold, typical of December is bottled way up in the arctic thanks to a very powerful polar vortex. Check out how warm it […]
If your loathing this abnormal, May-like 60-70-degree warmth from Mississippi to East Coast, your about to get a taste of December normality, a rude awakening this weekend in the Northeast as daytime temps hold in the 30s, 40s with stiff NW winds sparking heavy lake-effect snows downwind of the boiling Great Lakes. This weekend is a BRIEF taste of something a little more December-like […]
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