Seasonal Forecasts

US Pattern Remains Progressive To End June, Begin July

Written by on June 24, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
US Pattern Remains Progressive To End June, Begin July

Powerful thunderstorms brought severe weather and flash flooding across the Mid-Atlantic yesterday causing historic floods in West Virginia. Another significant system will push into south-central Canada this weekend , dropping temps over the N Plains while temporarily lifting them into the East. Highs will widely climb into the mid and upper 90s from Texas to […]

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Europe’s Sky Remains Electrifying With Air Mass Clash But Atlantic Soon To Clean Things Out!

Europe’s Sky Remains Electrifying With Air Mass Clash But Atlantic Soon To Clean Things Out!

A hot, subtropical air mass covers the bulk of Europe beneath a sprawling 1022 surface high with a separation zone between hot, humid air lifting up from Africa and fresher Atlantic air over France, Low Countries and Germany. This morning’s Met Office surface chart shows the fronts draped between NW Spain and Scandinavia and it’s here where […]

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Low Pressure Within Warm, Juicy Air Triggers Significant Thunderstorm Activity Across France, Low Countries, SE England

Low Pressure Within Warm, Juicy Air Triggers Significant Thunderstorm Activity Across France, Low Countries, SE England

Low pressure within a warm, very juicy air flow has been driving flooding thunderstorms over Northern France, Belgium, Netherlands and the Southeast UK overnight into this morning. More of the same through late today and tonight as further pulses of energy stream in from SW. Impressive shelf cloud over Rotterdam this AM. Suspected tornado damage from […]

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FREE: United States July 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

Written by on June 22, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
FREE: United States July 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

In the last 5-7 days, the heat has been in full blast from Central Plains to Southern California. The next few days will see the ridge core shift slightly east into the Four Corners then retrograde back west so no real heat relief for the Deserts or Great Basin through the remainder of June. Elsewhere […]

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FREE: Europe July 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

FREE: Europe July 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

Looks like June will wind up warmer than normal across Ireland and the British Isles, a lot of this down to the very warm, dry open but as forecasted back on May 22, it turned more unsettled as the Atlantic flow returned. Thanks to a persistent NE flow around high pressure north of the UK, the first […]

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June 2016 Southwest Heat Wave Sets New Monthly, All-Time Records

Written by on June 21, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
June 2016 Southwest Heat Wave Sets New Monthly, All-Time Records

As expected, the ridge has delivered in the Southwest producing some of the hottest conditions in history to some sites. The exceptional heat has aided in the trigger of multiple extra wildfires. Yesterday’s Southwest maximums Southern California Countless daily record highs set as well as monthly, even all-time. Excerpt from Andrew Freedman’s site Mashable Here […]

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Heat & Storms Continue To Dominate East, Central Europe

Heat & Storms Continue To Dominate East, Central Europe

While temperatures continue to soar into the upper 30s and low 40s across Greece and Turkey northward, fronts continue to spread across Ireland and the UK but there’s plenty of dry, comfortable weather in between. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] There’s a system which develops late week and lifts up through the English Channel. This will draw increasingly […]

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UK Remains Unsettled While 43C Heat Blisters Greece, 44C Turkey

UK Remains Unsettled While 43C Heat Blisters Greece, 44C Turkey

The UK and West remain influenced by a cool, unsettled WNW air flow with frequent fronts bringing wind and rain while the heat is well and truly on from Balkans, Greece, Turkey up to Russia. Athens is use to hot weather but even for them, 40C is uncommon, particularly in June. On Saturday, Sparta, Greece reached 43C. […]

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US: Big Model Differences For July

Written by on June 18, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
US: Big Model Differences For July

Big differences in the models for July. Watching the dry vs wet very closely. Must say the CFSv2 makes more sense with temperature and precipitation than Canadian. CFSv2 Canadian The wetter Northern Plains/Upper Midwest looks to be a tough call but I suspect a drier July in Texas may lead to a hotter late July/August. […]

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EUROPE: CFSv2 And Canadian Both Going To My July Idea

EUROPE: CFSv2 And Canadian Both Going To My July Idea

As promised, here’s a glance at what the models are showing for July. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: David Haldane ‏@DavidHaldane I must say the CFSv2 and Canadian are going right to my idea with classic Icelandic trough Azores ridge = frequently unsettled across Ireland, Scotland, N England, NW Wales, warmer drier for bulk of England and […]

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