Rest of Europe
It was a cold start to Friday and this chill deepens later today and particularly this evening as arctic air meets a low coming up from the SW. While sleet and snow showers run the chilly north flow over Scotland and N England, it’s more organised moisture meeting the cold over the N York Moors and […]
Following the previous mention of late season snow and cold Fri-Sat 2 days ago, we’re still on track. Watching a cold front sink south over Scotland this evening. This will have rain, sleet and snow on it and behind it, a distinctly icy feel with some brightness coupled with wintry showers across Scotland and N England […]
The El Nino continues to weaken and already this is strikingly evident against the shores of South America where waters are already turning cool-than-normal. Check out the warm water north of UK, very cold water over North Atlantic (known as cold blob) and this cooler than normal extends down along the Portugal, Morocco coasts. Current SSTA’s. Projected SSTA’s […]
There’s potential and good model agreement on a late season arctic blast as we end the work week with a high just west and low just east squeezing a stiff, cold northerly air flow down over the British Isles. The models are suggesting a significant hill snow event over the Scottish mountains and possibly Southern Uplands and Pennines with supressed daytime highs for the […]
Our stuck pattern will be very evident this week and likely through the rest of April with low pressure trapped to the SW of Ireland, surrounded by high pressure on all sides. This is a large low that is shedding fronts which are becoming trapped on the southern flank of the large, dominant blocking high draped across the northern […]
In just the past 24 hours, a major southward plunge in jet stream over eastern North America has created a ripple effect throughout the hemispheric atmosphere. The pattern has significantly amplified bringing winter back to North America and now Europe. Like flicking a skipping rope, the downstream reaction has forced the jet north way up into […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] I know I’m likely late to the party on this. Looks like the low that will bring gales or severe gales to SW Britain tomorrow could bring a sizable and pretty unusual April snow event or snowstorm to south and or southwest Ireland. Prepare for a covering and some tricky travel. Surface temps appear […]
We’re fast approaching the release date of the Summer 2016 Forecast (Sunday May 1). Last year was, as expected a disappointing one with plenty of rain and at times record cool following the brief spell of record heat to open July (remember the 36C at Heathrow?). This followed back to back ‘good summers’ in 2013, 2014 and the first […]
Given the build-up of pressure specifically from Atlantic up over Greenland into the arctic at this time of year in response to tremendous strat warming event through late March, expect cooler than normal to rule through the rest of April over the UK and especially south into Iberia. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This is a blocking pattern that will […]
With a major blocking pattern developing (boulder setting up within the atmosphere extending from central Atlantic up over Greenland), the typical westerly flow shuts down and air masses are forced south or north often bringing anomalous weather. Blocked patterns create ‘build-up’. Large and dominant highs re-route weather and at times corner it when surrounded, keeping a system stuck in a given […]
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