Rest of Europe
It’s been a weird, wild and extreme April for northern France. The extremes extend back to February where we saw 13cm of snow in Paris. The greatest amount since 2010 and 2nd biggest since 1989. Credit: @JulienTrezeux All of the below stats were measured at the official recording site for the city at Montsouris. Info […]
Welcome to my 8th annual summer forecast for Europe. As always, there are several global, regional and local factors which have been taken into consideration when putting together this forecast including the type of winter we’ve just observed. Neutral to slight positive ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) We currently have a slight negative but neutral […]
In search of some early heat? Well your unlikely to get any during much of May across the favoured sunspots of SW Europe. In fact it’s been a very different spring this year compared to last year when dry, hot weather was the rule. This year, it’s struggling to truly warm up, well by Spanish […]
We’ve a highly amplified pattern to end April over Europe with deep trough drilling south supporting snow in Spain while a downstream upper ridge is pumping summer heat into Italy, Balkans, Greece and Turkey. Two new national records have been set in the Balkans. The pool of unusual cool with deep surface low tracking north […]
We’ve not one but two pretty deep lows by late April standards set to attack southern England, the first at the beginning of the weekend and the second, deeper system at the end of it. The first is bringing wet and windy conditions into southern England and Wales later today/tonight. The late weekend/Monday system is […]
Recent springs have been dominated by hot, dry weather extending from Morocco up into Southwest Europe. Remember the record heat of March, April, May June and July heat last year? It started off with Alicante on the Costa Blanca soaring to 34.8C. A new all-time record for both March and April and hottest outwith Jun, […]
It’s been an interesting month and an interesting reversal in fortune. April started cool to downright cold with the 4th seeing several Scottish towns/cities witness their coldest April day including the coldest April day in 80 years for Edinburgh. Heavy snow and tricky travel accompanied the cold air. https://twitter.com/SeanBattySTV/status/981849155655143430 https://twitter.com/SeanBattySTV/status/981851087354384385 March turned out 3rd coldest […]
The very areas which suffered the cold and snowy March are now dealing with record April heat thanks to an abrupt shift in wind direction. Even early April got off to a cold, even snowy start and so this switch from winter to summer is probably about as fast as you’ll ever see. Many cities […]
When producing a seasonal forecast I like to look at several global and regional factors/players. They include the current and projected state of the ENSO index (El Nino Southern Oscillation index), global SST’s and particularly for summer, soil moisture content and rainfall distribution. Of course I also like to look back at previous years which […]
We knew it was coming but I must admit I didn’t expect this warm. It’s amazing how quickly a pattern can flip around given the cool first half to April. The BBC’s latest numbers for the Greater London area is up at 28C. If hit, it would be the UK’s warmest April day since 1949. […]
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