Rest of Europe
Well for those of you dying for some early season cold, I’m affraid your very unlikely to see it through the remainder of this month. This does coincide with my autumn ideas. Remember to keep in mind that given it’s a weak El Nino year.. In order for us to have a cold winter, we […]
I’ve seen a few mentions floating around and some folks have also asked me about the prospects of a late month Greenland block developing and an early taste to winter here in the UK. Right now I am kinda sitting on the fence or at least not jumping too quick as there is a lot […]
Thought I would give you a quick post on how the weather’s looking up in Greenland these days. Big different in 24 hours!. We often talk about the NAO and the Greenland block in relation to our weather but what’s the weather like up there at the moment.. Here was the conditions yesterday at Summit Camp, which […]
This post is in response to a press release issued in recent days by Reading University which discusses the link between a warm North Atlantic and wetter UK summers. If you’ve been following me back to when I first started blogging back in July 2009, you’ll be aware of my stance on why our summers here in the UK have been turning wetter […]
In both Winters of 2009-10 and 2010-11 my long range seasonal forecast turned out successful but last year that success came to a crashing halt. Since then I have been studying the global pattern, ocean sea surface temperatures across the world as well as observing closely what our weather pattern has been telling us ever since last year. I’ve learned […]
The storms continue lining up across the Atlantic with low pressure dominating the UK and it looks set to remain that way up till at least the weekend. Here’s the GFS surface chart for 3 hrs from now. Note the storm east of Iceland, this is driving our weather by sending fronts, rotating around this system […]
The european model is showing a very different scenario from 24 hours ago for next Saturday with the above chart being last night’s run. The new run is below! It’s basically complete opposites but I always say, never trust an individual run but if you look at the overall pattern and indexes such as the NAO etc, you […]
The arctic has seen the greatest loss of sea ice on record this summer, beating the previous record minimum set back in 2007. In stark contrast and despite all the hysteria about global warming, what you’ll perhaps struggle to see in the news is the fact that the Antarctic has seen a near record extent of sea ice. […]
We’re now entering deeper into autumn with winter fast approaching. October is pushing ever closer and this transitionary month can be a critical telltale month as to what we may expect later down the road. It was Joe Bastardi a few years back who said to me that often (not always), where the wettest weather and trough sets up […]
Following the wet day across Northern Ireland, Scotland and Northern England, the rain and cloud sinks south tonight and this gives way for high pressure to build in fropm the Atlantic. Today should be glorious with plenty of sunshine from Northern Scotland where some showers will be had but sunshine should be plentiful all the […]
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