Rest of Europe
With the current stratospheric warming taking place over the Asian side of the pole and the shift in the coldest pool of air on earth I think we have a very interesting January ahead with a heck of a lot of winter to come. It’s the combination of what we’ve seen so far across a large part […]
While the majority of Europe is mild with a westerly flow off the Atlantic, changes are afoot later next week as colder air is set to return to the east and north of the continent. If you live in Moscow and other eastern cities, enjoy the current mild spell as it’s living on borrowed time. You are likely […]
Moscow, Russia plummeted to -14F (-26C) yesterday morning which made for the coldest day of the year with a high only warming to 0F (-18C), the day, the high was a frigid -1F (-18C) following a morning low of -11F (-24C). Christmas Eve into Christmas Day saw the beginning of a well earned warm-up as a system pushed into the […]
I would like to wish you all a very Merry Christmas. Hope you have a great day with your family and friends. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] [/s2If][s2If current_user_is(s2member_level0)] Join a subscription plan, [s2Get constant=”S2MEMBER_CURRENT_USER_DISPLAY_NAME” /]! [warning]You do not have a valid subscription to access premium content exclusive to members. You will need to join a subscription plan if […]
The Russian capital of Moscow has now been locked in a classic winter deep freeze for 9 days now with the temperature not getting above 16F (-9C) since December 14th or 9F (-13C) since the 15th. Each night since the 16th has fallen below 0F (-18C) and this morning marked the coldest so far with a low near […]
If I had much in the way of hair, I would be pulling it out right now as I glance at some of these models. While the NAO is seen to go positive again, the GFS and even the ECMWF has a much milder look than what I would like for the UK and a large part of Europe […]
The new run of the ECMWF has come out and I really wanted to wait till this came out before posting on next week. Firstly, it’s worth pointing out that while an Iberian high tries to pump warmth into the UK this weekend and likely will produce 14, maybe 15C by Sunday along with heavy, flooding rains, models […]
Often when there’s unusual warmth in one part of the world, there is colder than normal in another. There’s no deneying the warmth over the US Lower 48 and to a lesser degree over the British Isles and Western Europe. For Western Europe, we have seen a turnaround following a cold first half of December. A […]
Milder it may be across Western Europe following a cold first 13 days of December but modelling is at least hinting at the next stage of my long term ideas, what are they? Cold start, then a respite but the cold ‘should’ return late month and towards New Year. The first half of the month was mild for Eastern Europe but folks from […]
There is a war going on with the models with wild swings for particularly the UK from extreme cold to mild conditions late next week. The reason for the wild swings is clear, the NAO/AO index is rapidly changing and heading into the tank. Remember that the NAO is currently positive and there is excellent agreement that it will […]
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