Rest of Europe
Great hi-res visible satellite view of Storm Frank this morning as the sun came up. Note the southern extension of the front. It’s this that will bring the bad weather to the UK and not so much the low itself, that will have greatest impact on Iceland but as we’ve seen all too often, it’s the trailing […]
Still early days but I can feel my blood beginning to pump as I gaze at the 5-10 and 10-15 day period. Yes I knew the AO was going negative but it would appear the NAO is going to FINALLY play ball too and potentially bring our first ‘beast from the east’ perhaps a week or so after […]
Every weekend in the run up to New Year, I thought it would be good to take a step back in time and relive some of our most brutal and legendry British and European winters of the last 100 years. Following back to back winters with prolonged spells of crippling snow and bitter cold, the entire hemisphere’s focus in winter 2011-12 was […]
HOPEFULLY, all is not lost! I use caution with the below charts as I’ve seen this time and time again only for it to not materialise. However, check out the huge flip in the hemispheric upper height field over the next 10-15 days! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] AO looks to go negative while NAO still remains positive but should […]
I trust you all had a lovely Christmas and continue to enjoy the festivities. For some, it’s been a very wet affair and even devastating once again with further flash flood issues for Northwest England. Boy what a dreadful time it’s been for these folks. Flood chaos witnessed in northwest Wales overnight. As of this […]
Myself, Karen & Holly would like to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and a blessed New Year.
While there was no cooling towards the end of December, the overall December Outlook played out quite well with warm and wet the rule. If there was an underestimate to the month, it came with the degree of warmth seen, likely down to the peaking of the Super El Nino which I believe is overwhelming the pattern not just over […]
As forecast back at the beginning of the week, the open to Christmas Eve will be rather lively with Storm Eva named by the MO. The worst of the wind and rain will be felt early in the morning but her presence will be felt through this evening as well as well as through Christmas Eve day. Winds will widely touch gale […]
No Cold Pattern In Sight For Europe Next 2-3 Weeks, Strat Warming Favours US Cold Like Past 2 Years!
For many of us hoping for a pattern change to colder, well we’ll need to remain patient as the AO remains strongly positive but is expected to drop towards weak negative in the next week or so. However, the NAO doesn’t show any real sign of getting much below neutral over the next few weeks and that means the Atlantic continues to rule. A […]
38 out of the last 54 Christmas Days have seen falling somewhere in the UK. Widespread white Christmases (including snow cover) are much rarer. The last one was the record-breaker of 2010 which not only saw 83% of station reporting snow on the ground but 19% of stations also recorded snow falling. 2015 looks brown for at least 80% of […]
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