Mark Vogan
Little has changed over the past 24 hours with Tropical Storm Ernesto as she continues to push into the eastern Caribbean Sea but there are some signs it may be slowly strenghening and I continue to stand by my idea that this system will be a hurricane before Sunday is out, if not early Monday. The track […]
The heat has been relentless and outstanding across the Southern Plains but in the past 5 days it’s Oklahoma which have been centrepoint with Oklahoma City yesterday seeing day 16 at or above 100°, day 3 of 110°+ and an unprecidented day 2 of 112°+ and to top it all, they tied their all-time record high of 113°, set back […]
The ECMWF is looking interesting from mid to late next week with potential for another mini warm surge. As it stands just now and with the current model run, mid to upper 80s for Southern England, mid-70s for Scotland is possible by the close of next week but I will be curious to see what the new model […]
It’s clear to see from this latest sat image that Ernesto is becoming better organised. She’s now showing signs of stronger, wrap-around convection over the centre with overall shape much more concentric. During Friday, the rapid 20-25 mph forward speed was creating shear and made this system look less organised with a lot of it’s convection off to the east but […]
The past few days has seen some decent spells of sun with scattered, hit or miss showers. When the sun has been shinning it’s felt pretty warm and overall, the past couple of days haven’t been bad at all. Unfortunately that looks to change to a certain degree this weekend though I am optimistic we can still […]
Following the coldest July average minimum temperature in 30 years for Australia as a whole, the month of August has continued the cold trend thanks to the persistent high keeping skies clear at night which allows daytime warmth to quickly escape back to space at night. The cold in recent nights has advanced further north […]
It seems the cold has been never ending with clear skies, light wind and harsh frosts becoming the rule rather than exception this year across Australia following back to back cool, wet summers. While days are chilly but not outragous, it’s the nights which have grabbed headlines as a large chunk of interior and eastern Australia has suffered frosty, bitter […]
Well we now have Tropical Storm Ernesto on the playing field. It is nothing overly significant right now and there are a lot of Q’s as to how sustainable the environment in it’s path actually is. The general thinking right now is that this system will slowly intensify and with most models pointing this in […]



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