Mark Vogan

Weak Nino’s With Cold PDO, Warm AMO In Autumn Often Mean US Cold, UK Warmth/Wet, Cold Winters Follow!

Written by on October 7, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 7 Comments
Weak Nino’s With Cold PDO, Warm AMO In Autumn Often Mean US Cold, UK Warmth/Wet, Cold Winters Follow!

    While I am trying to figure out the pattern over the next few weeks, the best way I can explain what I am seeing right now is a seesaw with the continuation of an active Atlantic pattern, it’s a very up and down pattern. I am trying to understand how this pattern is evolving as we’re […]

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US Cold To Ease Then Return Late Next Week

US Cold To Ease Then Return Late Next Week

The early October snows have been impressive in the last few days across the Rockies and Plains with yet more inches accummulating overnight across parts of North and South Dakota and Nebraska. While North Platte, Neb experienced their first snows of the season. Custer, SD recieved nearly 10″ of snow overnight. Where it didn’t snow, it was cold. […]

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US Cold Retreats Early Next Week But Returns Late Next Week, Cold Leaves Late Oct

US Cold Retreats Early Next Week But Returns Late Next Week, Cold Leaves Late Oct

The latest run of the ECMWF shows the cold air spilling into the Northeast by Sunday, Monday and with a system running up the East Coast, while it only rains in the big cities, there’s a chance of an accummulating snow over the interior mountains from WV to ME. This cold appears to ease early […]

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Winter Bites US Hard & Early With 14″ of Snow Falling In Roseau Co, MN While W. Yellowstone, MT Hits 5F

Winter Bites US Hard & Early With 14″ of Snow Falling In Roseau Co, MN While W. Yellowstone, MT Hits 5F

AS MUCH OF 14″ OF SNOW IS RECORDED 10 MILES NW OF BADGER, MINNESOTA WHILE THE LOW AT WEST YELLOWSTONE, MONTANA PLUNGES TO 5F THIS MORNING, WINTER HAS ARRIVED! It sure is getting cold across a large chunk of the Lower 48 and when looking back, years with weak El Ninos have often produced significant cold waves with record breaking snows […]

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FRI 5 OCT: UK & IRELAND REGIONAL FORECAST FOR YOUR WEEKEND

Written by on October 5, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
FRI 5 OCT: UK & IRELAND REGIONAL FORECAST FOR YOUR WEEKEND

Shutterstock General Synopsis A frontal boundary drapped across the Southern half of the British Isles will have another wave of low pressure push along it through tonight bringing yet more heavy rain to the same areas which got soaked last night. The low and trough which has been so persistent over the past 5 days […]

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NAO Flips Next Week, Models Suggest Settled Spell Starting This Weekend For UK/Ireland! (Includes HD Video!)

Written by on October 5, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
NAO Flips Next Week, Models Suggest Settled Spell Starting This Weekend For UK/Ireland! (Includes HD Video!)

I am strapped for time this morning so this is a short write-up, however the video goes into detail. Video is lengthy but I make several points which I want to you know about regarding this pattern. This is an important period, potentially a cross roads with the NAO returning to positive for a time. […]

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Early Snows Blanket Canadian Prairies, Northern Rockies/Plains

Early Snows Blanket Canadian Prairies, Northern Rockies/Plains

It all started off with the recurvature of Super Typhoon Jelawat following a hit on Japan. This system was shown on modelling as a recurving storm and for many years, forecasters in the US would look at this as a sign of a ridge building up the western flank of North America while a trough dropping into the […]

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THURS 4 OCT: UK & IRELAND REGIONAL FORECAST

Written by on October 4, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
THURS 4 OCT: UK & IRELAND REGIONAL FORECAST

Shutterstock General Synopsis The overall synoptic chart across the Atlantic is currently very complex with many low pressure centres dominating. The nearest low to the UK is north of Shetland at around 988 mb and over the next 24 hours it will track east and deepen, becoming a decent storm for southern Scandinavia. It is this low which has dominated the […]

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Strong Cold Front Brings Snow, Wind & 40°F Temp Drops Over Rockies, N. Plains

Strong Cold Front Brings Snow, Wind & 40°F Temp Drops Over Rockies, N. Plains

Temperatures were in the 70s and 80s yesterday over Montana and during the overnight hours, the first of two strong cold fronts swept through dropping temperatures sharply and forcing snow to break out. These snows were falling earlier in the day yesterday over British Columbia and Alberta as the cold air rished south on the […]

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Frost Threat Next Few Nights, Decent Weekend On Cards, Uncertainly Over Next Week (Includes Video!)

Written by on October 3, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Frost Threat Next Few Nights, Decent Weekend On Cards, Uncertainly Over Next Week (Includes Video!)

Back on Sunday I made mention of the frost threat Wednesday night and probably Thursday night too as a clear slot developed in between systems. Sure enough, the North Highlands got off to a cold start this morning with a widespread frost following a night of clear, calm skies. Though chilly further south, a breeze as well as passing showers kept temperatures […]

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