Mark Vogan
Over the next 72 hours, very warm air will flood much of Europe and North America while a trough dropping over Greenland, supporting the lowest levels so far. This morning, is nothing to stiff at with Summit Camp currently reading -45C (-49F). Could reach near -50 to -55C (-58 to -67F) in the coming nights but changes of a […]
While my winter ideas for both the US and UK have been out for a while now, it’s very important to remember that nothing is a deffinate and it’s important to look at everything. The information given to you, is what I think ‘should’ happen when factoring in all the variables. We know the past, present but it’s what lies ahead that […]
While a warming pattern is shaping up for a large swath of the US next week, this will be triggered by a trough dropping into the Pacific Northwest. This trough dropping south into the NW builds heights from the Southwest through the Plains and across to the East. Temperatures could rise into the 80s over the Plains, perhaps stretching […]
As it stands and going by the latest run and trend showing in the ECMWF, the high currently over eastern Europe will slide across the continent and reach the UK by early next week. While the pressure field adjusts across Europe, ARCTIC air builds to the north and is shown to bleed south thanks to building […]
Shutterstock Scotland Friday has been a largely damp, cloudy affair with off and on rain and limited brightness. This will be the theme through tonight and while temperatures by day are cool beneath all the cloud and dampness, this has the opposite effect by night, helping hold temperatures up. The clouds act like a blanket […]
I’ve been banging on about next week’s warmth since last Sunday and certainly that appears highly likely now but the question for next week is how much sunshine do we get because that will make all the difference as to how warm we get. If there is decent sunshine then I think 21C for London is very possible […]
A huge upper ridge has expanded across the majority of the Europe which is allowing for calm weather and plentiful sunshine. With fairly strong heights aloft, temperatures are running widely 4-8C above normal, particularly where the SW winds are combined with sunshine, that is where you get maximum warmth. On Friday it will be the western interior’s turn for that maximum […]
Shutterstock Scotland The unsettled theme continues through this afternoon after a wet morning although we have seen some break in the rain during the early afternoon. Unfortunately that won’t last as we push towards the evening commute. The heavy and persistent rains which affected eastern Northern Ireland through much of today extends across the Channel and into […]
In the past 10 days the US and overall North America pattern has changed from back through August, September and early October. Since July’s heat, there was at least 3 significant shots of cold during August, Sept and early October with the trough dropping straight into the Central and Eastern states. However in the past […]
As alluded to since Sunday, a significant ridge is building over Europe supporting temperatures 4-8C above normal and it’s looking more likely that after a messy next few days over Northwest Europe, this warmer air will reach the UK early next week. What’s interesting is that while we have warmer air over Europe and indeed North […]



Recent Comments