We saw roughly 3 weeks of a positive AO which has allowed significant cooling over the arctic and this has also laid to the quick expanse of arctic sea ice. A positive NAO/AO in November was crucial but when looking at the ensembles and seeing how much the NAO and AO is set to tank, we […]
Arctic air returns to the Lower 48 tomorrow and will increase in coverage over the next 7 days. As this arctic air sweeps south and east bringing a sharp drop in temperatures following the abnormal mild of today and tomorrow, many ask, who where and how much snow will fall. Over the next 36 hours, as […]
The wheels appear to be in motion now for big changes coming. Tired of all this STORMY hardship? Don’t fret, the end is in sight. That being said, we all face a rough next 24 hour period. The much anticipated, energy-loaded frontal system associated with a sub-974 mb low will sweep across a saturated Ireland and Britain tonight and tomorrow and […]
Scotland [notice] If you’re driving tonight, prepare for deteriorating weather conditions as winds are expected to reach ‘gale-force’ widely with ‘severe-gales’ along the coast, Flooding rainfall is a significant concern also [/notice] The weather has been largely fine and dry throughout much of Scotland today following a rough first half of the week, unfortunately today is a brief interlude as a […]
While arctic air will dive into the heart of the country late this week, unlike the last cold surge, this time around it’s going all the way to the Atlantic coast and that means the Big Cities. The last outbreak spared the big cities. Before the arctic air reaches the coast, later Friday and into Saturday will see a […]
Thought I would use Chicago as a good example of the wild temperature swing we are about to see across the heartland of the US over the next 72 hours. While a howlling Pacific flow warms the majority of the country with unseasonably mild air with many rising Wed and Thursday to between 15-25, locally […]
This morning I sent out more facebook posts and tweets regarding the concerning setup for Thursday. We have had significant flooding across parts of Ireland and Scotland with system 1, system two will have cleared the northern UK tonight but heavy rains will impact the Midlands, South and Southeast the rest of tonight and through the […]
Scotland Another day and another wet overnight and morning makes way to a drier, brighter and less windy afternoon for a large chunk of the country. Further rain however will affect the North with a strengthening wind which is expected to reach severe gale-force later this evening across the Western Isles. This will likely cause some disruption to ferry services […]
Live in the Northern Plains? You enjoy the next 3 days of Pacific mild because the arctic hound is coming and will cross the barb wire fence this Thursday into Friday, starting in Montana according to the ECMWF. As you’ll notice in the charts I’ve uploaded for you, arctic air drops into the Northern Rockies and then moves east, […]
After what was a record dry and quiet spell, it seems the Pacific Northwest is catching up with the typical wet and stormy weather their so often use to during fall. In the past week, a sharp and large-scale pattern shift has meant to long awaited return of wet and stormy weather to Washington and Oregon extending south […]
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