Mark Vogan
The pattern may be less severe than it’s been but heck, it’s March 28 for goodness sakes… and the fact we’re still talking snowfall and chill with no real end in sight and pretty unbelievable. Check out the ECMWF snow chart through just the next 48 hours. Yes, we have MORE snow coming to the Ohio Valley and interior […]
Models are in good agreement about the upcoming 10 days with it’s 500mb height anomalies. Front running 7 days shows both models with the Iceland to Italy ridge and deep troughs either side. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The trough-ridge-trough orientation has the UK and west, central continent mild and settled while cold air strives to drop out of Scandinavia towards Ukraine and SE. […]
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After an amazing late March Mid-Atlantic snow, it’s hard to believe we have a lot more snow to come in the coming 2 weeks. The focus of snow will be over the Upper Midwest with 2 to 3 systems pushing from the Southwest/Texas up through the Lakes/Interior Northeast. Here’s the significant snow from the last […]
If you read and watched last Sunday’s Mother’s Day outlook for the UK, you’ll remember the uncertainty and conflicting solutions between ECMWF and GFS. Both models are now in the same camp and it’s looking good for the majority of both the UK and Ireland as well as much of central and western Europe. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It’s looking rather mild […]
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We have one hell of a storm currently spinning off the New England coast to the south of Nova Scotia with pressure estimated to be down around 960mb. We’re seeing incredible visible satellite imagery of the storm. Wind gusts offshore are currently clocking 80-101 mph. Current visible satellite view. Wow! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Check out this Atlantic surface analysis chart […]
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Little change in overall thinking of the storm although we’ve seen some fairly impressive Mid-Atlantic including DC snowfall today. This thing is set to go to town as the low is up off Long Island and will be a major wind make offshore with hurricane-force gusts and seas will likely build to between 20 and 50 […]
In a follow up to last night’s post regarding the cooler, drier outlook, I want to look a little more closely at soil moisture content and it’s importance in atmospheric feedback as we toward warmer times. Here’s the ECMWF’s interpretation of Europe’s soil moisture content. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The focus of wettest ground extends from the UK to Italy. This is where […]



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