Mark Vogan
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Don’t pay attention to the latest piece in the Express, it’s utter rubbish. The winter waiting game continues with no solid evidence suggesting a colder pattern is in the near term. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Sure, we’re seeing some nice strong warming in the upper stratosphere but not down in the mid and low levels. Until then, our […]
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In my winter forecast I brought up the winter of 2000-2001. There are some nice parallels to autumn of 2000 and this year showing up. While there’s some similarities, admittedly there are some opposites too. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As pointed out in yesterday’s post. This is ALL theory but seasonal outlooks are often weighed against past […]
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Current US snow cover sits at OVER 50%, a value that would be above normal even for Christmas never mind BEFORE Thanksgiving. As well as the enormous snowpack that’s largely built-up in just the last 5 days, we’ve got an historically cold air mass to go with it. According to Ryan Maue, this morning is said to be […]
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Michael Ventrice tweeted the December MQI analog for Europe and it’s looking very similar to the latest CFS forecast. MQI CFS [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Modelling, both operational and ensemble are at least ‘trending’ towards a colder outcome to end Nov and start Dec across Europe in potential response to the continued warming of the stratosphere. Another thing worth noting is that […]



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