Mark Vogan
The 2018-19 winter forecast is based on and factoring in all atmospheric/oceanic drivers currently in play. This year’s forecast will take into consideration the Pacific and Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies, continued development of an El Nino as well as solar cycle status. Background Here are the main factors taken into consideration for the upcoming […]
The 2018-19 winter forecast is based on and factoring in all atmospheric/oceanic drivers currently in play. This year’s forecast will take into consideration the current ENSO index (El Nino Southern Oscillation), the global as well as Atlantic SSTA (sea surface temperature anomaly) profile, arctic sea ice extent and current status of the solar cycle. There […]
In what’s been a warm September and October across much of Europe. However, despite Poland experiencing it’s warmest September on record, a clear, cold end to the month drove temperatures to -7.9C in the Czarny Dunajec district. September temperature anomaly https://twitter.com/Ardo_94/status/1046338255887769605 October temperature anomaly In October and again after unusual warmth it was the UK’s turn […]
By Linda Lam 10 hours ago weather.com An active weather pattern is expected to end October, which may impact Halloween plans in portions of the United States. The main instigator for stormy weather on Halloween will be a cold front stretching from the eastern Great Lakes southwestward into the south-central states. Along this front will […]
Halloween arrives on Wednesday this year and whether you’re out trick or treating Wednesday, Thursday or Friday, the overall theme turns from cool and settled to begin the week to milder and more showery midweek (Halloween itself) to potentially very wet and windy by the time we reach Friday evening. Once dark (typically by 5.15/5.30pm […]
October started warm but is ending cold in the East and warm in the West. One of the coldest for the Northern Plains while warmest for parts of Florida. Overall, it’s been a month of two distinct halves and known as the month which hosted Hurricane Michael. Here’s how the month has turned out temperature-wise […]
This October will be remembered for it’s stormy spells and ups and downs in temperature with record heat (low 20s in northern Scotland, Scandinavia) and in the final week, possibly record cold! October is of course a transition month and it is often turbulent. It’s been a warm month throughout the continent. So, how cold do […]
An unusually strong Azores high will build then weaken and get shoved west late this week opening the door to the first true push of arctic air of the season over the UK. The mountains of Scotland, England and Wales could all see snow and perhaps to some ‘lower’ levels. Significant wind chills and a […]
The Eurasia snow cover is rather bleak this year. https://twitter.com/MarkVogan/status/1053061621411655680 This year is the polar opposite of 2016. https://twitter.com/MarkVogan/status/796417042907856900 They say a big snow cover in October can enhance high latitude blocking during the winter providing southward incursions of polar air into the mid latitudes, particularly eastern North America and Europe. I’ve shown the below […]
With the development of Vicente and Willa, the eastern Pacific hurricane season of 2018 has entered the record books as busiest ever following a very busy season last year. Like we’ve seen all too often this year, newly formed Willa has rapidly intensified off Mexico, gaining 60 mph and gaining ‘major’ status within 24 hours. […]
Recent Comments