This winter has been driven by a +NAO, -AO which has kept things interesting with snow and cold as well as spells of mild.

The NAO appears to remain negative which results in the continuation of a fluid Atlantic pattern.

We’ve seen a pick up in storm activity within the last 10 days resulting in damaging wind over the UK and near continent.

https://twitter.com/weather_king/status/956167450202132480

https://twitter.com/ingouschner/status/954070434315718658

The current ‘milder’ spell has been triggered by the AO going positive in recent days but it looks set to reverse once again and with the release of polar air back into the mid latitudes it looks like more snow is headed for the UK as the jet stream heads back to a more southerly position transporting lows eastwards further south.

https://twitter.com/wxcharts/status/956932492539424769

The front running 5 days looks mild according to the GFS ensemble but note the turn around the following 5-10 days.

CFSv2 weeklies continue to show a blocky cold setup from east to west over Europe mid Feb.