Major Pattern Flip On The Way – From Winter To Summer Within 10 Days

We all know about the series of Atlantic lows that will close May/open June on a very wet, windy and cold note but a significant shift in Europe’s upper air pattern is coming. For details on the weekend and early next week weather, be sure to watch today’s video.

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A fair amount of rain to come through the next 7 days.

ecmwfued-null--europe-168-C-totalqpf

Still some snow expected over the mountains as this ocean modified air originated over Greenland where it’s -29C this morning.

ecmwfued-null--uk-120-C-frozentot10

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The GFS ensemble and EPS control show an unusually deep trough overhead through the upcoming 5 days but between day 5-10, 10-15, the upper pattern completely flips with both models showing warm, sunny weather into mid month.

EPS control

ecmwfa1ec-hgt--europe-120-A-500hgtanom_5d

ecmwfa1ec-hgt--europe-240-A-500hgtanom_5d

ecmwfa1ec-hgt--europe-360-A-500hgtanom_5d

GFS ensemble

gefs-hgt--europe-120-C-500hgtanom_5d_white

gefs-hgt--europe-240-C-500hgtanom_5d_white

gefs-hgt--europe-360-C-500hgtanom_5d_white

Depending upon how long this ridge pattern lasts, the dry June expected by the CFSv2 may be correct but I agree with the wetter July-August solution. Then again it had May dry and look at it!

euPrecMonInd1

euPrecMonInd2

euPrecMonInd3

Be sure to watch this morning’s video for the discussion. More again tomorrow…

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