Archive for 2014
Many of us will be hoping for some decent weather next weekend? Why? It’s Mother’s Day of course here in the UK and Ireland. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As of now, next Sunday (2nd April) is looking not too bad depending upon what computer model you look at. If you look at the 168 hour ECMWF chart, it’s looking dry, […]
There’s good agreement with all the big models that a ‘Modoki’ style El Nino will form this summer. (Modoki: Central Pacific based El Nino, typical during cold PDO’s) LINK: The El Niño Modoki TOP IMAGE: Courtesy of NASA [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Due to the cold PDO, El Nino’s tend to be weak and short lived. Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell points out […]
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We continue to monitor the upcoming onslaught of more winter and extreme weather. The type of cold on the way is more suited to mid winter with a 1040 arctic high set to drop out of Canada. Temps will range between 20 and 40 below normal from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico by mid […]
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When looking through the various charts this morning, there was one thing that grabbed my attention. The GFS and to an extent the ECMWF, has snow even in Africa in the coming days. That would be impressive given the averages are way up there by now. It should be getting warm, not cold in the desert […]
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We have a fairly significant cross polar strat warming underway. This time, it’s over the pole. Throughout this winter the warming at 10mb has been from Russia across the N Pacific into Alaska, so it’s different from before but that doesn’t mean we’re suddenly set for the winter we never got. However it’s a setup supportive of cooler times at least. […]
We are seeing a significant strat warming event taking place from Siberia across the pole into northern Canada and this supports the coming arctic waves into the Lower 48 next 2 weeks and beyond. Check out the initial 10mb temps. Look at the orientation of the warming. Directly underneath is where the coldest air is. As heights rebuild up into Alaska, […]
Time and time again this winter, modelling has suggested spells of cold with snow but most of those times, it was nothing to write home about. This month sits in between the extremes of the past two Marches. Remember last year? Looked and felt more like January. In fact, if last March had of been January, […]
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