Sun, Sand, Warmth But Still ICE On Superior! Early Tropical Development, Flood Event Looming?

Written by on May 27, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments

Before we get to the main subject of today’s post, I want to show you something quick remarkable.

Something not unusual about Memorial Day was the warmth which stretched from the Gulf Coast to Great Lakes, what was unusual however and perhaps a first, was that while folks enjoyed a warm, 84 degree afternoon on Marquette Beach, Michigan, they overlooked a very ICY Lake Superior! Quite surreal…

Here was the scene yesterday at Marquette Beach, Michigan…

Courtesy/Credit: @GreatLakesBooks

Courtesy/Credit:  @GreatLakesBooks

thegreatlakesbookproject.com!

Stunning visible satellite imagery from NASA, via the NWS office in Marquette, MI shows the ice still along Superior’s south shore.

Courtesy/Credit: NWS Marquette

Courtesy/Credit: NWS Marquette

Courtesy/Credit: NWS Marquette

Courtesy/Credit: NWS Marquette

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The combination of it being Memorial Day with typical temps in the 70s and 80s but with ice still along the south shore is likely an unprecedented event.

From the NWS. Yes, it was warm on the UP.

Courtesy/Credit: NWS Marquette

Courtesy/Credit: NWS Marquette

Yesterday’s highs across the nation yesterday.

Source: weather.com

Source: weather.com

In recent days I’ve showed you a lot of precipitation charts with a focus on the Texas/Plains rains and the overall ‘wet idea’ for the summer into the fall with the El Nino coming on etc. Tonight I want to go back and show you the GFS medium range solution. It appears to be back on the idea of developing something in the Caribbean and taking it up near to Florida and the Carolinas towards the end of June’s opening week.

If this happens and track up the coast like the latest run of the GFS suggests and you have a trough digging south, we could have a significant East Coast rain/flood event.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

This would likely be a storm or hybrid entity I think rather than a hurricane. Probably a little too early but who knows.

CFSv2 still on board with the very wet June in Florida which I still think the model is seeing early development.

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Let’s keep an eye on this.

More tomorrow…

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