US Outlook: Warm-Cold Battle With Cold Still Winning, More Snow, Freeze Threat Remains For South!

Written by on April 2, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments

Despite it being April and we’ve just seen a major snowstorm on the N Plains, we have MORE snow and cold coming not only to end the current week but next week threatens more of the same two. Now that it’s April however, the severe threat is greatly increasing as heat naturally wants to lift north from Mexico and the tropics and with a near Canada-wide snow cover still, that’s a problem.

Check out the GFS ensembles temps through April 10. No heat wave coming that’s for sure!

350x186_04010135_1gfs10temps

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Next storm seen on the ECM to end this week. Not only presents another major snow threat for the Upper Midwest but a severe risk for South into the Upper Midwest.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

This could be quite the system with flooding rains and several tornadoes in the warm sector while 6-12 inches falls from MSP N and W.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Here comes the next storm, bringing potentially big Southern rains initially before lifting north and winding up.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Another severe threat for South and East with backside snows.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

168

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Snow through 168 hours. It’s Minneapolis’s turn with this next system!

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Think the Mid-Atlantic may not be out of the woods yet either and with more deep troughs poised to drop south and east, the freeze threat remains for the interior Southeast!

Don’t think this extremely low number lasts much longer!

2014_United_States_tornado_count

GFS 500mb Height Anomalies Next 16 Days (Still low heights compared to normal!)

0-7 days

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

7-14

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

9-16

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

When we continue to see the warm pool fed positive height field over Alaska, you can bet the trough and below normal heights shall continue south and east over the Lower 48. It’s amazing to see as a result of the above, these BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES still dominating.

0-7 day

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

7-14

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

9-16

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

The CFSv2 is hinting at the sub-tropical South ridge trying to become a little more established in the coming weeks. This would certainly increase the severe threat with systems still crossing the country. We are going to see more fight as spring tries to come on but comes up against big resistance. Bare in mind the pattern we have with Canada still pretty much snow covered, harnessing the chill coming south thanks to the persistent N Pac/AK ridge. Heat is naturally trying to push north from Mexico and the tropics…

wk1_wk2_20140331_NAsfcT

wk3_wk4_20140331_NAsfcT

BTW, it’s April 1st and there’s still 90.2% of Lake Superior ice covered!

sicecon-00

NEW video tomorrow PM.

Good night!

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