>It can not last forever! I’ll be completely honest, I made a statement back on July 31 that New York would not hit 90 in August, I will now say that it looks unlikely to to remain below 90 over the coming couple of weeks as hot the strong upper-level ridge of high pressure that’s went from the southern plains to Southwest around the start of July and baked (as usual) the Southwest Deserts in 110-120-degree heat is now pushing back eastward and will intensify in the coming days over the same place it first formed and brought records 100s for days to Houston in June.
This retrograding ridge allows a trough and heat relief into the West brining Vegas from 100s down into the 90s, Phoenix usually has a harder time getting below 100 since stronger heights are often found over central Arizona as compared to southern Nevada as summer eyes the end game. The central US will bake with 100s from Texas to Nebraska, possibly making it into areas of the Dakotas. The heat source will expand 90s back into Minneapolis and Chicago after a July Hiatus. The hot dome with it’s ring of fire storm wheel may push far enough east to push this heat over the Appalachains and bring the first 90s into New York and Boston for the first time since April. A warmer end looks to be on tap for the east whilst the West may be finally cooling down, especially in places like Phoenix where I’m sure residents won’t complain.
It’s interesting at how recent summers has seen the trough develop into the West whilst the East tends to see the heat through much of August.
Summary
1)Trough digs into the bringing cooler weather as heights lower.
2)Central Plains to feel the heat as a strong ridge builds and expands bringing 90s to Minneapolis and Chicago.
3) Western Canada to experience cooler, wetter weather whilst Ontario and Quebec could see real warmth build as the high over the southern plains expands.
4) New York and Boston will have a tough time staying under 90 the next two weeks as the heat core shifts from the Desert Southwest into the Southern Plains, keeping he blowtorch closer to light up the East Coast with 90s.
HURRICANE SEASON
The Hurricane season is still very quiet, dead and doesn’t look like wakening up. However, like with the no 90s for New York, this type of season can’t last forever and I do believe that around the 15th onwards the tropics should start to come alive, at least a bit, I dn’t expect a ramp up and lining up of storms but one or two thunderstorm clusters may have an easier time developing as the western Atlantic gets warmer and wind shear should lighten up across the upper levels of the Western Atlantic atmosphere as thr trough pushes east and the Bermuda high builds towards the US East Coast.
Thanks for reading.
-Mark





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