United States of America
The first in a series of strong, moisture rich and cold Pacific storms crossed California this past weekend. While that system clears eastward today, the next can be seen approaching below. It’s been an active weekend of weather throughout California and much of the West with heavy low level rains and heavy snowfall in the Sierra […]
There’s been a lot of focus on the rain and snow piling into California, heat extending from Plains to East Coast and of course the high potential of a major severe weather outbreak through next week but little has been mentioned about the chill set to drop over Mexico. The cause of likely 70s reaching all the way to southern New […]
It’s a pattern we didn’t see during the heart of the ‘rainy season’ but over the next 10-15 days it’s the REAL EL NINO DEAL for California. A true ‘atmospheric river’ is gathering steam and originating all the way back across the Pacific to the Philippines. A line of storms is forming a conga line across the Pacific while […]
In this morning’s video I showed the ECMWF solution and I want to show you a more enthusiastic GFS in the written post for the Friday snow. As expected, the high and cold digging out of Quebec in forcing the storm system coming out of the Ohio Valley to track further south. With plenty of cold air […]
Firstly, here’s a look at the end of the week/weekend Mid-Atlantic snow event according to the GFS. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Reason I skip quickly through the end of the week snow is because this will be dwarfed by what follows and I cannot get away from this. The amount of warmth lifting north and east across […]
You can’t argue with the stats, winter 2015-16 is going down as one of the warmest and wettest on record with many seeing a top 5, even top 2 warm Dec-Feb period. No question, this can be directly attributed to the record tying El Nino which produced the warmest December on record, coinciding with the peaking of the […]
While the next two lows in the series are likely to track west of the DC to Boston corridor, the ECMWF says it’s 3rd time lucky Fri-Sat as a cold trough deepens, forcing the storm track south of DC. First of all, we have another major storm system this week which is likely to bring a sizable snow […]
Am I missing something? It appears we have a full blown sudden stratospheric warming event underway with the apparent collapse of the polar vortex. MJO is within phase 8 (cold phase) and yet the models aren’t showing much in response. Is it me or is it the models simply not seeing what’s happening within the arctic atmosphere? […]
We of course saw the nasty multiday severe outbreak up the East Coast this week and unfortunately next week could deliver a similar scenario as another large and powerful storm system looks to take a similar track keeping the East Coast initially within the warm, moist and most unstable side. While the latest run of the GFS doesn’t suggest quite the juicy environment […]
A sprawling storm system connecting Mexico with Canada brought two very different types of weather between Midwest and East. On the cold side, heavy snow, even blizzard conditions buried parts of the Lower Midwest while warm, moist air and intense upper energy brought a multiday severe weather outbreak from Louisiana to Florida up to Massachusetts. [s2If […]

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