United States of America
A major snowstorm and backlash blizzard is unfolding across the Dakotas. While 1-3 inches will fall across a large swath of Montana and the Dakotas, the core of heaviest snows will fall across central Minnesota eastwards into Wisconsin. From the north Minneapolis suburbs up towards the Duluth area as much as 6-14 inches of snow can […]
There is a war going on with the models with wild swings for particularly the UK from extreme cold to mild conditions late next week. The reason for the wild swings is clear, the NAO/AO index is rapidly changing and heading into the tank. Remember that the NAO is currently positive and there is excellent agreement that it will […]
The next 2 weeks will see a dramatic turnaround across the US with the southward advance of extremely cold air. The step down transition kicks in this weekend with arctic air dropping into the Rockies and as we enter next week, a secondary, stronger lobe drops out of Canada. Look out as the trough deepens […]
While the Lower 48 basks in warmth, those days are numbered for the East and have ended further west. Many are doubting this winter, asking whether it will ever truely get here given that we’re now into December and we’ve seen the warmest opening three days on record. I urge you to look at the big picture […]
This afternoon’s blowtorch has many from the Plains to Mid-Atlantic scratching their heads as exceptionally warm temperatures rocketing to mid-September levels and 20-30°F above normal for Dec 3. Today’s astonishing all-time record warmth is a byproduct of the weeklong wild pattern which has hammered California and the West. As much as 23.4 inches of rain feel at Brandy Creek, […]
The pattern is becoming very zonal across the country and that means mild air will dominate the Lower 48 for probably the next 7 days. However, while there will be a chance of record warmth, a system crossing the Northern Tier next week will pull down cold air out of Canada bringing chilly weather back […]
While the 1-2, 2-4 inch snows are beginning to wind down from VW to MA, the attention now turns to California where a set-up known as an ‘Atmospheric River’ begins to setup with the perfect alignment of weather systems. This presents real concern for significant multi-day rainfall and consequencial flooding. A trough developing off the West Coast will have multiple […]

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