United Kingdom & Ireland
The meteorological summer forecast 2016 is based upon past, present and projected SSTA (sea surface temperature anomaly) atmospheric conditions and ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation). [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Background Following a record tying strong El Nino which peaked in autumn 2015 and profoundly influenced the cold season of 2015-16, there is significantly weakening which will have affect on the summer. Expect to see […]
In moderate to strong El Nino years gone by, often the heart of the winter produces little snow and cold and is dominated by mild, unsettled but these non El Nino winters have been know to bring unusually cold springs. 2016 will be remembered for a largely non winter followed by winter conditions through mid and late April. Classic -NAO following strong SSWE supports […]
It sure is slow but the end to winter is in sight but not before we see the old man throw his last dagger. It’s a tough call as to elevation but low pressure moving into Scotland today could present disruptive snow later today into tomorrow across Scotland! Major high level roads arteries including M74, A9, A82, A96 could all be subject to disruption […]
As mid winter intensity arctic air sweeps south, we’ve been able to enjoy some amazing snow scenes across Europe in recent days. Aberdeen, Scotland North York Moors, England North York Moors, England Dunnyvadden, Northern Ireland Paris, France A little bit of everything with this shower sweeping through Paris. View from Eiffel Tower Vledder, Netherlands Vledder, Netherlands […]
High anchored to the west and low to the east has the UK, along with France, Low Countries and Germany at the mercy of a cold draft from the north that’s more suited to winter rather than late spring. 5,000ft level temps are unusually cold at between -5 to -10C throughout the entire UK atmosphere. This arctic air stream […]
Though not unprecedented, this week will be one of the colder endings to an April you’ll see. With strong high pressure anchored over the Atlantic and a deep low diving down the North Sea, we have late season arctic air cycling around an anomalous upper vortex which is driving an icy gale packing rain, sleet and snow showers south down central and eastern parts […]
April is a month which can see every season with temperatures as low as -13C over deep snow cover to summer sunshine and a balmy 27C. The last 10 years alone has seen both the coolest April since 1989 with heavy snow and temperatures down to -12C and we’ve seen the warmest in recorded history. April temperature […]
Under brilliantly clear blue sky, the thermometer climbed to 19.2C yesterday and so far today, 19.5C at Porthmadog, Wales, making it the UK’s warmest day of 2016. However, this time just 5 years ago, we we’re in the midst of an unusually warm spell which sent temperatures widely into the high teens and low 20s […]
High pressure continues to promote beautiful clear skies for much of the British Isles. Great weather if you happen to be off this week. Satellite picture from yesterday. Last night’s sky was just beautiful here. This morning’s satellite view is even better. Barely a whisp of cloud from southern Highlands to South Coast. Here’s the evidence down […]
You know that what happens within one area of our atmosphere, there’s often a ripple effect downstream. As high pressure continues to build in over the UK, so southwest winds have picked up ahead of an Alpine low and that means a surge of summer into Greece, Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania into Ukraine. Check out these highs over […]

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