Seasonal Forecasts
The last 30-days of rain has been well above normal from Texas to Montana and to a lesser degree across the central Intermountain West as well as the Mid-Atlantic but despite recent rains for the Northeast, it’s been very dry here as well as the Tennessee Valley and much of the Southeast. The driest compared to […]
The feature image above shows the latest visible satellite image across the Atlantic. Note the large swirl of low pressure now exiting eastern Canada. That is our game changer next week. Before I get into next week, beneath clear skies, light wind and a cooler, drier air mass in place, temps widely dipped to freezing or […]
After a mild November 1 through January 15 period, old man winter finally got his act together, particularly in February but since then, he refuses to give up. This weekend sees a strong cold front sweep through the Ohio Valley, Northeast and Mid Atlantic with arctic source air driving temps 10-20 below normal with snow expected […]
It’s interesting when looking at the latest long range model runs and the big differences in solution. Canadian and Met Office models are in the same ‘cooler, wetter’ camp which somewhat coincides with my summer forecast while the CFSv2 and Jamstec are both warm and dry. Canadian Met Office CFSv2 Jamstec See this morning’s video. Here’s what AccuWeather […]
Article from weather.com The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season forecast released Thursday from Colorado State University calls for the number of named storms and hurricanes to be near historical averages. A total of 12 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricane are expected this season, according to the forecast prepared by CSU, which is headed […]
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It really has been a spectacular week of weather, particularly across Northern Ireland and Scotland, not so much further south across England and Wales. What a day to take a drive up the A9 to Inverness yesterday. Here are the views at Dalwhinnie that I captured. Dash read 24C. Yesterday’s highs. The Isle of Skye […]
I only briefly touched on the severe weather that’s been causing havoc on the Plains in recent days as I’ve been focusing more on the larger, longer term pattern. Not that I don’t care! Speaking of severe weather, in Atkinson, Nebraska, hail accumulation was deep enough for cars to get stuck yesterday!! As that troublesome and […]
A simple shift in the position of high pressure and wind shift means big changes coming late week as we loose the warm continental connection and draw in polar maritime air again. It was another glorious day up here across Scotland Tuesday but another dreary, soggy one further south. Visible satellite from yesterday shows a cloudless Scotland but […]
As expected, following widespread 80s to near 90 Sunday across Montana, it was snowing and stuck in the 30s Monday afternoon and this afternoon, some mountain communities are failing to even get out of the 20s thanks to a cold system descending south out of British Columbia. Great Falls 3pm temperature Sunday was 80 degrees and […]

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