Tropical
Well we now have Tropical Storm Ernesto on the playing field. It is nothing overly significant right now and there are a lot of Q’s as to how sustainable the environment in it’s path actually is. The general thinking right now is that this system will slowly intensify and with most models pointing this in […]
It’s early days yet and with not the most perfect environment for any real intensification ramp up, it could be a slow process but newly formed tropical depression 5 is born! Within the next few days, TD 5 should be a storm and looks to impact the Lesser Antilles by Friday, quite likely as a […]
Up until now, the tropical Atlantic has been dead, although waves have been travelling the usual west-east journey but they’ve been killed by choking Saharan dust and intense easterly trade winds. Two factors which are never good for tropical development. In the past couple of days, there are TWO waves which have caught attention of the meteorological community […]
There’s no question, the Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season has been noneexistant after it’s rapid start and here’s a lot of the reason why! This dry air has been carried across the tropical Atlantic by much stronger than normal easterlies, has surpressed convection and moist air and any waves which emerged from off Africa, quickly became […]
Much of North Florida is ultimately a disaster zone with the focus on hardest hit Wakulla County where a Civil Emergency has been declared. A massive amount of rain fallen over the past 24 hours across the Panhandle. As you can see from the graphic below provided by the Tallahassee NWS showing rainfall totals from […]
Unfortunately, since my update back during yesterday afternoon there is litte change in Debby except she is down by 5 mph. Max sustained winds remain at 45 mph, pressure is 993mb and she is stalled. Now we know the wind aspect isn’t the main feature but it’s the persistency in piling up of the water with […]
Well, Debby has weakened from a 60 to 50 mph storm and is looking rather unimpressive due to the amount of dry air working into the storm as well as the strong shear which is displacing ther bulk of her convection well off to the east. In fact the majority of the convection is actually […]
[warning] NEW RUN OF ECMWF NOW HAS DEBBY MAKING LANDFALL OR STALLING JUST OFF PANAMA CITY, FL [/warning] Well it appears that Tropical Storm Debby might well just make a landfall between Appalachicola and Cross City, FL sometime tomorrow evening as it’s northeastward track continues and gets ever closer to the NW Florida coast. I can’t see this […]
Tropical Storm Debby has formed in the Gulf of Mexico around 220 miles S, SE of the mouth of the Mississippi River Delta. While the overall atmospheric and ocean environment becomes more and more favourable, this system looks to have a slow 36 hour journey north, then west for much of next week according to the latest run of […]
You may have noticed the increasingly active area of weather simmering over the Caribbean Sea these days. This area of disturbed weather has lingered and grown in coverage over recent days and it’s stuff like this with a large envelop of energy which must be watched when you see pressures fall and you have a favourable […]
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